Saturday, December 26

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades
Thunder to Win ($1.91)

The Sydney Thunder and Melbourne Renegades will each be confident in their chance of winning when they two sides clash at Manuka Oval on Saturday evening.

The Thunder needed their first match against the Stars to tune up, but they have been terrific in the wake and enter this match off the back of consecutive wins over the Heat and the Scorchers.

The Renegades have been the exact opposite. They snuck home in their first match against the Scorchers, but they have barely fired a shot in the wake.

At publish, both sides are tied at quotes of $1.91, and I simply cannot figure that out. More than happy to stick with the Thunder.

Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Stars
Sixers to Win ($2.10)

A replay of last season’s decider and a possible preview of this season’s decider will be contested between the Sydney Sixers and Melbourne Stars on the Gold Coast on Saturday night.

The Sixers were pretty rusty in their campaign opener against the Hurricanes, but they are another side that simply hasn’t looked back, and they have won each of their two subsequent matches.

Their form has also been franked by the Hurricanes losing just one of four matches and topping the table at Christmas.

The Stars’ roster is once again full of talent, and they are already well on their way towards another finals berth.

I personally cannot split these two sides currently, and for that reason alone, I am happy to take the value around the Sixers as outsiders.

Wednesday, December 23

Brisbane Heat vs Adelaide Strikers
Lynn Heat Top Runscorer ($3.25)

The Heat remain winless after their first two matches in BBL10, and they are desperate to get off the mark against the Adelaide Strikers on Wednesday evening.

Having been given a lesson by the Melbourne Stars first-up, they were again comfortably beaten by the Sydney Thunder last time out, and betting suggests things won’t be getting any easier for them here – they are all but friendless in the market, now out to $2.20, while there’s $1.67 about the Strikers.

Chris Lynn has been about the only shining light for the teal brigade so far, leading the way against the Thunder with an eye-catching 69 off just 44 deliveries. His performance will obviously be vital to the Heat’s chances again, and he is the $3.25 top elect to top score against the Strikers, ahead of Dan Lawrence and Max Bryant, tied on the second line at $5 quotes.

Jake Weatherald has already returned a couple of lovely efforts with the bat for the Strikers, and he is the $3.75 favourite to top score for his side again, ahead of captain Alex Carey ($4), Phil Salt ($4.50) and former Heat opener Matt Renshaw, $5.

I’m happy to continue to back Lynn until he gives me a reason not to.

Tuesday, December 22

Sydney Thunders vs Perth Scorchers
Thunder to Win ($2.20)

An intriguing contest will see the Sydney Thunder take on the Perth Scorchers at Manuka Oval on Tuesday evening, and a win could very well prove vital to the finals chances of both sides, even this early in the season.

The Scorchers were awful in their campaign opener against the Renegades, while their second match against the Melbourne Stars was rained out and deemed a no contest. Despite having yet to get on the board, they remain very firm $1.67 favourites to knock off the Thunder here, who are now out to $2.20.

Jason Roy is considered to be one of the world’s leading short-form batsman, so it probably comes as no surprise that he is the $3.75 favourite to top score for the Scorchers, ahead of a log jam of Colin Munro and Liam Livingstone, both rated $4.25 chances, and Josh Inglis, $4.50.

For the Thunder, Alex Hales and Usman Khawaja share the top line of betting at $3.50, while there’s good value around the likes of captain Callum Ferguson, $4.50, and Alex Ross, $6.

The Thunder’s last start win over the Heat suggested that they are in with a competitive chance of a deep run this season, and they are over the odds at their current price.

Popular Same Game Multi: Alex Hales 20+ Runs, Usman Khawaja 20+ Runs, Thunder to Win – $5

Sunday, December 20

Sydney Sixers vs Adelaide Strikers
Sixers to Win ($1.95)

Both sides have had a couple of hit-outs in BBL10 now, and both enter this match off the back of impressive victories, but was the Strikers’ win over Hobart that has clearly fancied the Neds punters today, and they have been backed into $1.85 favouritism, now $1.95 about the Sixers, who have interestingly won each of their last five matches as underdogs in betting.

The big hitting Alex Carey will look to lead from the front again this evening, and it probably comes as no surprise that he is tied on the top line of betting with Jake Weatherald to top the run sheet for the Strikers, $3.75 about both of those players.

James Vince and Josh Philippe are the $3.75 top elects to top score for the Sixers, with the latter entering this match off the back of an eye-catching 95 off 57 against the Renegades.

The Sixers shape as a live chance of winning the whole thing again, and I am happy to side with them here.

Saturday, December 19

Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades
Short Hurricanes Top Runscorer ($3.50)

The Hobart Hurricanes suffered their first defeat of BBL10 to an impressive Adelaide Strikers outfit on Tuesday night and will eager to bounce back at the expense of the Melbourne Renegades this evening.

That is exactly what betting suggests will happen – At publish, the Canes are $1.67 favourites and continue to receive good support, while the Renegades have attracted just a sprinkling of attention and are out to $2.20.

He has failed to fire in two of three innings in BBL10 so far, but D’Arcy Short remains the $3.50 favourite to top score for the Hurricanes, ahead of English import Dawid Malan ($3.75), Ben McDermott, Colin Ingram and Will Jacks, tied on the third line at $4.50 quotes.

Shaun March tops the Renegades market; the top order talent is rated a $3.50 chance ahead of Marcus Harris and Sam Harper, both $4.50 shots.

Short’s inconsistency is sure to be weighing heavily on the classy opener, and I am happy to give him another chance against the Renegades.

In my opinion, the Renegades’ bowling attack lacks a genuine star, and this looks the perfect opportunity for Short to bounce back into form.

Wednesday, December 16

Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars
Maxwell Stars Top Runscorer ($4)

The Melbourne Stars will seek to keep alive an unbeaten start to BBL10 when they meet the Perth Scorchers this evening, and betting suggests that is exactly what will happen. The Stars probably haven’t quite reached their best form yet, but it has still been more than good enough to account for the Heat and the Thunder, and they are our $1.67 favourites to win again this evening, the Scorchers all but friendless and out to $2.20.

He failed to get off the mark against the Heat, but Marcus Stoinis responded with an impressive 61 off 37 balls against the Thunder and has opened a $3.50 favourite to top score against the Scorchers tonight.

The Scorchers boast plenty of top order talent and it’s an absolute logjam in Top Runscorer betting – Colin Munro, Josh Inglis and Mitch Marsh are all rated $4.25 chances.

Perth were absolutely dreadful in their first match against the Renegades, a result that then was compounded by that team then losing horribly against the Sixers.

I’m confident that they will improve for the effort, however I’m not sure they’ll improve enough to beat the Stars, and I think that the market has this one just about right.

We’ve so far had good fortune in selecting Top Runscorer, so I’m going to continue on that line tonight.

Tip: Maxwell Stars Top Runscorer ($4)

Popular Same Game Multi: Stars to Win, Maxwell 25+ Runs, Zampa 2+ Wickets – $4.97

Tuesday, December 15

Hobart Hurricanes vs Adelaide Strikers
Strikers to Win ($1.91)

For the second time in only three days, the Hobart Hurricanes and Adelaide Strikers will face off in BBL10.

The Hurricanes drew first blood with a hard fought eleven-run victory on Sunday afternoon but so far, the bookies cannot split them ahead of tonight’s second meeting – at publish, we’re faced with $1.91 each side.

D’Arcy Short failed to get off the mark against the Sixers last Thursday, but he responded with an impressive 72 to top score against the Strikers on Sunday afternoon, and it probably comes as no surprise that he is the $3.25 favourite to repeat that effort tonight.

Jake Weatherald and Phil Salt are tied $3.75 favourites to top score for the Strikers, ahead of Matt Renshaw ($4.50) and Jon Wells ($5.50). Dan Worral led the way with the bat for the Strikers on Sunday afternoon, and is available at odds of $41 to repeat that effort tonight.

Hobart have obviously been impressive enough to remain undefeated during their first two BBL10 outings, and while I’m confident they’ll return another competitive effort tonight, I think that Adelaide will take improvement for their first game and win this. The $1.91 is great value.

Popular Same Game Multi: Will Jacks 15+ Runs, Colin Ingram 20+ Runs, D’Arcy Short 25+ Runs – $4.42

Monday, December 14

Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat
Lynn Heat Top Runscorer ($3.25)

Neither the Thunder nor the Heat were able to account for the Melbourne Stars over the weekend, and both with therefore be desperate to get off the mark at Manuka Oval this evening. Both sides have attracted attention in the market but as it stands, the Thunder are on track to start favourites at $1.73, value around the Heat at $2.10.

The Thunder boast a plethora of big-hitting talent at the top of their order and that is echoed in the market – Alex Hales is tied on the top line of betting with Usman Khawaja to score the most runs for the Thunder at $3.50, captain Callum Ferguson is the sole occupant of the second line at $4.50.

Absolutely no surprise to see Chris Lynn as a firm favourite to top the run sheet for the Heat at $3.25.

I was confident that the Thunder would prove difficult to beat in their campaign opener, and while they wouldn’t quite get there against a fitter Stars outfit, I’m confident that they’ll improve for that effort and ultimately win this match.

If the Heat are any chance of winning this (and any game in BBL10), Chris Lynn needs to fire, and I think that’s where the value lies tonight.

Popular Same Game Multi: Chris Lynn 20+ Runs, Alex Hales 20+ Runs & Daniel Sams 2+ Wickets – $5.48

Sunday, December 13

Adelaide Strikers vs Hobart Hurricanes
Strikers to Win ($1.73)

The Adelaide Strikers will launch their BBL10 campaign against first-up winners the Hobart Hurricanes this afternoon, and betting suggests that it will be a prosperous day at the office for Jason Gillespie’s men, they are our $1.73 favourites to defeat the Hurricanes, out to $2.10.

The Strikers boast an impressive batting line up, Jake Weatherald and Phil Salt share favouritism to top the run sheet today at $3.75 each, and while Darcy Short failed to get off the mark against the Sixers, he is favourite to bounce back and top score for the Hurricanes today at $3.60.

The Strikers shape as a live chance of winning BBL10, and given the muck around that was their preseason and forced relocation, a win here would do plenty for their confidence and stocks.

Despite winning, I didn’t think that the Hurricanes were particularly convincing on Thursday, and this does shape as a tougher task for them.

Popular Same Game Multi: Darcy Short 15+ Runs, Colin Ingram 15+ Runs & Jake Weatherald 15+ Runs ($2.95)

Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
Philippe Top Sixers Runscorer ($3.75)

The Sixers will be eager to get their title defence back on track at the expense of the Renegades this evening, and while there has been interest for both teams in the market here at Neds, the Sixers remain slight $1.80 favourites, with even money about the Renegades.

James Vince starred with the bat against the Hurricanes and he is tied on the top line of betting with Josh Philippe at odds of $3.75 to top the run sheet again for the Sixers, while it probably comes as no surprise that Aaron Finch is the $3.40 favourite to top score for the Renegades.

Philippe enjoyed a meteoric rise to prominence last season, and there is absolutely no doubt that he’ll be filthy with himself for failing against the Hurricanes.

I think that the market just about has this one correct, and I’m instead going to dig deeper to find the value.

Popular Same Game Multi: James Vince 15+ Runs, Aaron Finch 20+ Runs & Ben Dwarshuis 2+ Wickets ($4.70)

Saturday, December 12

Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder
Thunder to Win ($2.25)

With their first match of the season in the history books, the Melbourne Stars will take improvement and confidence into this afternoon’s match with the Sydney Thunder.

The Stars boast one of the competition’s best rosters again this season, but all of Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis and co. will need to be at their best for the entire campaign if they are to record a well overdue championship win.

Standing opposite today are the Sydney Thunder, who are obviously eager to begin their campaign on the right foot, and who definitely have the ability to do so.

Callum Ferguson has retained the captaincy, while the Thunder have been boosted by a couple of key signings, including Ben Cutting from the Brisbane Heat.

I understand why the Stars have been priced as favourites, but rarely do they perform to their perceived standard, and I am going to take them on today.

Melbourne Renegades vs Perth Scorchers
Scorchers to Win ($1.75)

The Melbourne Renegades and Perth Scorchers will each launch their respective BBL10 campaigns this evening, and this looms as an intriguing fixture.

The Renegades were absolutely awful in BBL 9 – it took them a long time to record their first win and managed just three in total from their fourteen matches.

The Scorchers weren’t a whole lot better and missed the finals for just the second time in their existence.

Both sides will blood new names in this match, but with plenty of players also spilling over from last season, I think that the bookies have gotten the head-to-head prices for this one just about right.

There’s still plenty of meat on the bone for the Scorchers at $1.75 and I’m happy to take that price all day long.