Canberra v Cronulla
Todd Smith
- Canberra are 4-7 with a 4-7 cover record
- Cronulla are 7-3 with a 4-6 cover record
- Home underdogs are 14-10 against the spread
- Interstate teams cover at 42%
- Over hits at 55% when there is a favourite of four or more
- Over hits at 56.5 in night games
Ref Lean: Over 46.5 (Small)
Penrith v North Queensland
Peter Gough
- Penrith are 8-1 with a 4-5 cover record
- North Qld are 5-5 with a 4-6 cover record
- Favourites cover at just 41%
- Favourites of 6.5 or more cover at 43%
- Over is 9-1 in Cowboys games
- Over hits at 59.2% when there is a favourite of 6.5 or more
Ref Lean: North Queensland +13.5 (Big), Over 50.5 (Big)
South Sydney v Sydney Roosters
Adam Gee
- Souths are 6-3 with a 6-3 cover record
- The Roosters are 13-7 but just 8-12 against the spread
- Under is 6-3 in Souths games
Ref Lean: South Sydney -3.5 (Small)
Parramatta v St George Illawarra
Gerard Sutton
- Parramatta are 3-6 with a 3-6 cover record
- St George Illawarra are 3-5 with a 4-4 cover record
- Bottom 4 teams cover at 26%
- Home underdogs cover at 38%
- Over is 6-3 in Parramatta games
- Under hits at 55% when there is a home underdog
- Under hits at 61% when there is a 4+ home underdog
Ref Lean: St George Illawarra -4.5 (Big)
Gold Coast v Dolphins
Wyatt Raymond
- Gold Coast are 2-1 with a 2-1 cover record
- Dolphins are 1-0 with a 0-1 cover record
- Home teams are 11-5 with a 10-6 cover record
- Over is 8-4 when there is a favourite of at least a try
Ref Lean: Nil
Brisbane v Wests Tigers
Liam Kennedy
- Brisbane lost and did not cover their only match under Kennedy
- The Tigers are 1-4 with a 3-2 cover record
- Favourites cover at 59%
- Favourites of 12.5 or more cover are 6-3 against the spread
- The under is 4-1 when the Tigers play under Kennedy
Ref Lean: Brisbane -17.5 (Big)
Manly v Melbourne
Grant Atkins
- Manly are 9-6 with a 10-5 cover record
- Melbourne are 12-10 with an 11-11 cover record
- Home teams cover at 55%
- Home dogs cover at 62%
- Teams off a loss cover 56%
- Teams off a win cover 45%
- Over is 13-2 in Manly games
- Over is 14-8 in Melbourne games
Ref Lean: Manly +4.5 (Big), Over 47.5 (Big)
Canterbury v Newcastle
Ashley Klein
- Canterbury are 2-6 with a 2-6 cover record
- Newcastle are 3-6 with a 3-6 cover record
- Underdogs cover at 47%
- Underdogs of 6.5 or more cover at 43%
- Over is 6-3 in Newcastle games
- Over hits at 58.6% when there is an underdog of 6.5 or more
Ref Lean: Canterbury -6.5 (Big), Over 46.5 (Small)