Daily MLB Tips – Tuesday, April 29

Daily MLB Tips – Tuesday, April 29

Tuesday’s Home Run Bets

Pete Alonso @ Washingtion Nattionals  

  • Alonso has homered and doubled in 15 plate appearances against Nats starter Trevor Williams. 

Marcus Semien vs Athletics  

  • Semien owns some nice numbers against A’s starter JP Sears, with two of his six hits being home runs. 
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals (6:05am)
Tip: Under 9.5 Runs

Griffin Canning (NYM) vs Trevor Williams (WAS) 

The Mets have been one of the best team in baseball to start the season, led by a rotation sporting a 2.36 ERA, the lowest in the league. 

Griffin Canning has played a huge part in the Mets’ pitching success, lowering his own number last week when he allowed just one run in five innings of work against the Phillies.  

Offensively, Pete Alonso is proving a force at the plate, while New York has also regained some key players off the injured list with Jeff McNeil and Francisco Alvarez returning to the lineup. 

James Wood and the C.J. Abrams can make this a series and help compete with the Mets on the scoreboard, but I still like the under here given how solid New York’s pitching has been. 

Athletics @ Texas Rangers (10:05am)
Tip: Under 9.0 Runs

JP Sears (ATH) vs Patrick Corbin (TEX) 

The Rangers found a creative way to lose their second game in a row last night, allowing the Giants’ Heliot Ramos to hit a walk-off, little league home run that traveled a grand total of two feet. 

Texas heads back home on Tuesday to host the A’s, a team that has performed slightly above expectations thanks to the likes of Tyler Soderstom and Jacob Wilson, who are both hitting over .300, respectively. 

I’ve picked on Patrick Corbin over the last couple of weeks, but he’s been a reliable piece in the Rangers’ rotation, allowing only six earned runs in three starts. 

Given this is a lefty vs lefty pitching matchup, it’s worth noting both sides rank towards the bottom of the league in runs scored against southpaws, while the Rangers currently rank sixth in strikeout percentage. 

With all that in mind, a low-scoring game with the run total set as high as 9 looks the best play.