Gear up footy fans as Round 7 will be spread across 5 days. The undefeated Bulldogs face the Rabbitohs in the traditional Good Friday clash with a crowd of more than 70,000 expected at Accor Stadium.
There will be no Lachlan Galvin for the Tigers on Easter Monday as the Tigers look to build on the back of an impressive win over the Knights. Let’s not forget about the Panthers who are desperate to end a 5-game losing streak.
The Dragons came out with intent against the Titans and were rewarded with a big win.
The opposite occurred for the Sea Eagles who had to wait until the 52nd minute to score their first points in what was a losing effort versus the Sharks. The Sea Eagles are giving away a start here, but history supports it.
They are 3-0 both straight up and at the line in their last 3 at home to the Dragons. They have won 5 of the last 6 as a home favourite in this matchup and the Dragons have been plagued by inconsistency. They have won only 2 of their last 10 after collecting two points with a 20% success rate at the line in those games.
Olakau’atu has scored a try in his last three appearances against the Dragons, and you cannot go wrong with Jason Saab at 4 Pines Park where he has scored at least once in 7 of his last 8 games.
Recommended Bets
- Best: Manly -3.5 ($1.87)
- Next: Manly 13+ ($3.10)
- Tryscorer: Olakau’atu ($13.00 First, $2.50 Anytime)
- SGM: Saab Try/Koula Try/Over 48.5 points ($5.75)
We could see a new regular-season attendance record set with upwards of 70,000 fans expected for the traditional Good Friday clash.
The Bulldogs remained at the top of the ladder courtesy of the bye in Round 6 while a dubious sin-bin potentially cost the Rabbitohs a crucial two points. Historically, the Good Friday game between these two is very low scoring with fewer than 40 total match points in 9 of the previous 12 editions.
The Under is 6-0 in Rabbitohs games this season and has also held on in 8 of their 11 away games. If that is not enough, the Under is 13-3 in Bulldogs games after a win in the last year and 8-2 for the Rabbitohs over the same period.
The Rabbitohs have covered the line in 5 of 6 games in 2025 and have not lost by more than 10 points to the Bulldogs since 2017. The Bulldogs have scored the opening try in all 5 games played this season led by Montoya (twice).
Recommended Bets
- Best: Under 44.5 points ($1.90)
- Next: Tribet 1-6 Either Team by Less Than 6.5 points ($3.25)
- Tryscorer: Marcelo Montoya ($7.25 First, $1.73 Anytime)
- SGM: Montoya Try/Tass Try/1st Half Under 21.5 points ($8.52)
The Dolphins 30-12 win over the Panthers is one the best wins in the club’s young history and they have a chance of extending their win streak to three games.
To do so they will have to find a way to contain a red-hot Storm attack that has averaged 36.8ppg so far this season. The Dolphins has lost 8 of their last 9 when facing teams in the top 8 and have never beaten the Storm (0-3).
A 5-2 line record in their last 7 as a home underdog suggests that they could go toe-to-toe with the Storm but the Over has hit in 67% of Melbourne away games in the last year which means they will need to score 20+ points to be any chance. Several players have had great success at Suncorp Stadium including Eliesa Katoa who has a try in 3 of his last 4 games at this ground. Grant Anderson has scored 11 tries in his last 10 games for the Storm and not even a shift to the centres will slow him down.
Recommended Bets
- Best: Melbourne -13.5 ($1.90)
- Next: Melbourne 41 Points or More ($3.60)
- Tryscorer: Grand Anderson ($12.50 First, $2.35 Anytime)
- SGM: Papenhuyzen Try/Faalogo Try/Katoa Try ($6.47)
It was a long Sunday afternoon for the Warriors last week as the Storm were relentless in a 42-14 win where hey barely broke a sweat.
This week they host a Broncos side who will be livid following a loss to the Roosters. A string of injuries including Fisher-Harris and Nicol-Klokstad have seen this line blow out, but the Broncos have been anything but convincing.
They have posted a 6-15 line record (29%) as the favourite in the last 12 months and in this matchup specifically, has lost 5 in a row outright as an away favourite! The Over has hit in 80% of Warriors home games in the last year and 69% of matches following a loss in the same period.
There is further support for a high scoring contest with the Over hitting in the Warriors last 5 games when installed as the outsider. Jordan Riki’s return is timely as he has scored a try in each of his last two against the Warriors.
Recommended Bets
- Best: New Zealand +8.5 ($1.90)
- Next: 61 Points or More ($5.75)
- Tryscorer: Jordan Riki ($26 First, $4.60 Anytime)
- SGM: Both Teams To Score 20+ Points/Arthars Try/Kosi Try ($6.29)
The Roosters ended a 3-game losing streak with an upset win over the Broncos but the same cannot be said about the premier who crashed to a 5th consecutive loss.
The 18-point loss was their biggest defeat since the final regular season round of the 2022 season when they played a second string side.
They have been held to fewer than 20 points in their las 3 games with the Under going 3-0 in that stretch. With respect to defence, they have leaked just shy of 30ppg this season (28.3) which includes a 38-32 loss to the Roosters in Round 2. The Chooks have won 64% of home games in the last year and have been fast out of the blocks having scored the opening try in 5 of 6 games played this season – a feat which the Panthers have accomplished only once.
The Panthers have been playing catch-up as a result, and it does not suit their style. The opposing fullback has scored a try in 3 of the Panthers last 4 games including Tabuai-Fidow who scored a hat-trick against them last week.
Garner is lining up in the centres for the premiers and scored a double against the Roosters in their qualifying final clash last season.
Recommended Bets
- Best: Sydney Roosters WIN ($2.20)
- Next: Sydney Roosters 13+ ($5.20)
- Tryscorer: James Tedesco ($14 First, $2.70 Anytime)
- SGM: Young Try/Tupou Try/Garner Try ($11.64)
If you consider their respective performances last week, there should be a wider margin between them in betting.
The Titans resembled witches’ hats in defence as they Dragons ran 7 tries past them while the Raiders were picture perfect in every aspect of their game which translated to a 50-12 scoreline over the Eels. This matchup highlights the longstanding issue for the Titans – defence.
They have scored 20+ points in each of their last 4 games against the Raiders but have lost all 4 games. The Raiders have won and covered the line in the last 4 as the away team in this series and dating further back have a 70% strike rate at the line in their last 10 as the road team.
There has been 50+ total match points in the Raiders last 4 away games and the can thank their forwards for contributing. The trio of Nicholson, Young and Tapine all scored last week and have combined for 11 tries so far this season.
Recommended Bets
- Best: Raiders WIN ($1.75)
- Next: 2nd Half 31 points or more ($3.05)
- Tryscorer: Matty Nicholson ($21 First, $3.45 Anytime)
- SGM: Hudson Young Try/Jojo Fifita Try/Nicholson Try ($15.34)
We had to wait 35 minutes for the first points in the Sharks game last week but tries on either side of half time put them in the driver’s seat for a reliving win over the Sea Eagles.
The Knights needed 79 minutes for their only try and have now scored a total of only 3 tries in their last 270+ minutes of footy. The Under has held on in all Knights games so far this season (5-0) and has an 80% strike rate in Knights home games played in the last year.
The Knights have rarely outperformed market expectations and have won only 3 of their last 11 games (27%) as the outsider in the last 12 months. A 4-1 record in their last 5 against the Sharks at this ground suggests we cannot write them off as does a 67% success rate at the line in games after a loss in the last year.
The Sharks have conceded 9 of their 20 tries down the right third of their defence which means Marzhew, who has scored in his last two against the Sharks, is the best value to get on the scoresheet for the home side. The Knights opposing left winger has scored the opening try in 2 of their last 3 games.
Recommended Bets
- Best: Under 42.5 points ($1.85)
- Next: Sharks 1-12 ($2.80)
- Tryscorer: Ronaldo Mulitalo ($8.25 First, $1.94 Anytime)
- SGM: Mulitalo Try/Marzhew Try/Knights Under 15.5 points ($13.54)
The Tigers were initially installed as overwhelming favourites following an outstanding win over the Knights, but the Lachlan Galvin contract saga coupled with the return of Mitchell Moses for the Eels has seen the oddsmakers bridge the gap.
The Easter Monday game between these two has been a staple since 2014 and they have split the previous 10 meetings right down the middle.
There have been 48+ total match points in 5 of the previous 7 Easter battles with the Over hitting in 7 straight meetings when the Tigers have been listed as the home team. The Over has hit in 80% of Tigers games following a win in the last year and in 67% of Eels away games over the same period.
The Eels have claimed the points on offer in only 1 of their last 9 as a road underdog and have struggled to cover the line in those games (33%). Turuva delivered with the opening try last week and is worth sticking to this week as the Eels have conceded a league-worst 16 tries down the side he will be attacking.
Recommended Bets
- Best: Tigers -2.5 ($1.90)
- Next: Over 47.5 points ($1.90)
- Tryscorer: Sunia Turuva ($7.50 First, $1.70Anytime)
- SGM: Turuva Try/ Ado-Carr Try/To’a Try ($7.77)