Daily MLB Tips – Saturday, September 28

Daily MLB Tips – Saturday, September 28

Saturday’s Home Run Bets 

Kyle Schwarber @ Washington Nationals  

  • Schwarber has hit 3 HR already over the last week. He also owns 6 HR against Nats starter Trevor Williams.  

Brandon Lowe @ Boston Red Sox 

  • Lowe owns 3 HR against Nick Pivetta. He’s also gone yard twice over the last seven days. 

Shohei Ohtani @ Colorado Rockies  

  • Ohtani has hit 3 HR during his career at Coors Field. He’s hit 5 HR over the last seven days and has recorded a couple of doubles against Rockies starter, Cal Quantril.  
Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals, 8:45am  

The Phillies will have their sights set firmly on the postseason, but having just taken two from three against the Cubs, they are still taking care of business against teams they should be beating.  

The division rival Nationals fall into that category, a team they beat up just over a month ago when they won three out of four games.  

Nats veteran Trevor Williams has been pitching well of late, but he did give up three earned runs to this same Phillies side when they last met.  

Several of the Phillies’ best hitters own solid numbers against the righty, including power hitter Kyle Schwarber, who has recorded 6 HR and Nick Castellanos, who owns 14 hits from 38 plate appearances.  

  • Tip: Back the Phillies to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $1.90 
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees, 9:05am  

This looks like a good spot to bet on the Yankees at home.  

Carlos Rodon is likely to take the mound for the Pinstripes hoping to build on last week’s six-inning, four-strike shutout against the A’s in Oakland.  

Rodon has quietly been one of the most reliable pitchers through the month of September, racking up 29 K’s across four starts for the 13th lowest ERA among qualified pitchers.  

Most importantly, the Pirates have struggled all year against left-handed pitching, ranking in the bottom half in walks and runs, and Top 5 in strikeout rate.  

  • Tip: Pirates Under the Run Total  
  • Player Pick: Carlos Rodon Over Strikeout Total  
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers, 10:10am  

It looks as though we’re getting Sean Manaea taking on Frankie Montas for the start of this three-game series between the Mets and Brewers. 

Manaea has been one of the catalysts for New York’s second half turnaround, pitching to a sparkling 2.36 ERA across five starts through the month of September with only four home runs allowed.  

The Mets are also playing off back to back off days due to inclement weather on the East Coast, so it’s worth noting they’ve played to a 9-6 record overall following an off day this year.  

With Manaea’s road splits suggesting he’s a more trustworthy arm away from home than he is at Citi Field, this looks a good spot for him to bounce back from an average outing against the Phillies last week and steer his side to a win. 

  • Tip: Mets to Win @ $1.87 
  • Player Pick: Sean Manaea Over Strikeout Total