2023 NFL Week 14 Tips & Preview

2023 NFL Week 14 Tips & Preview

With five weeks remaining in the regular season, are we really any closer to knowing who’s going to win the Super Bowl?

The 49ers just wiped the floor with Philly to give them their second loss of the year and and injury to Trevor Lawrence leaves the AFC wide open once again.

This season seems to be all about survival more than anything else, the football gods always demand a sacrifice and wowee have they taken a few this year.

We hobble into Week 14 with only 19 of the 32 quarterbacks that started in Week 1 still leading their offences, this truly is the darkest of timelines.

The show goes on and we still have some great games of footy this weekend.

I’ve run my eyes over each market, simulated each game in Madden and checked the waiver wire for fantasy studs.

Here is my preview of Week 14 of the NFL.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
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Bad.

That’s all I have to say about this one, I don’t know what we did to deserve yet another poor TNF game but boy oh boy we’ve been given one.

New England’s 0-6 defeat last week “helped” them become the first team since 1938 to lose three straight games while allowing 10 points or fewer.

They do say the defence does win you Super Bowls but it’s kind of implied that you’re supposed score a couple of points on the other side of the ball at the same time.

The Steelers aren’t much better at the moment, they were just blown out of the water by the Cardinals (that were 2-10 at the time).

The bookies have told me that the points line we’re offering for this game (30 Points) is the lowest NFL points total that has been offered in over 30 years.

I’ve already spent too much time on this one, Steelers to cover.

Steelers -6.0 @ $1.90

SGM $5.40

  • Jaylen Warren Anytime Touchdown @ $2.45
  • George Pickens 45+ Receiving Yards @ $1.90
ATLANTA FALCONS V TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
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The Falcons and Bucs will meet for the second time this year, last time out the Falcons scraped home 16-13 and are $1.72 favourites to make it 2-0 on the year against their division rival.

There’s some pretty big playoff implications for this game and I’m trying to make a case for Tampa, they did win last week but they only just beat Carolina which doesn’t really inspire any hope now that I think of it.

But the same argument can be made for the Falcons, they only just beat the Tim Boyle lead Jets.

I need to trust my gut here and for me it’s the Buccaneers, the trio of Baker, Mike Evans and Rachaad White get me excited here where I don’t like what Arthur Smith is doing for ATL.

My Bets

  • Buccaneers H2H @ $2.15
  • Rachaad White 60+ Rushing Yards
  • Bijan Robinson 60+ Rushing Yards
CINCINNATI BENGALS VS INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
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Did the Bengals prove last week that Joe Burrow is just a system QB?

Quarterbacks with the initials JB seem to go really well for the Bengals, Jake Browning in primetime last week went 32/37 for 354 and a TD, those are MVP numbers.

This game is a test to see if lightning does indeed strike twice, the Bengals just beat the Jags and now have a significantly easier matchup over the Colts.

The Colts allow 24.6 points per game this year and Ja’Marr Chase showed that he is QB proof on MNF with 149 yards and a TD.

I’m taking the Bengals to win here and Ja’Marr to keep on cooking, the Colts are 7-5 on the year but I don’t believe they are as good a team as that positive win record says.

My Bets

  • Bengals H2H @ $1.94
  • Ja’Marr Chase 75+ Receiving Yards
  • Joe Mixon Anytime Touchdown Scorer
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS LOS ANGELES RAMS
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Fresh off the bye the Ravens have opened as $1.28 favourites over the 6-6 LA Rams (who are $3.75 to win).

The Ravens have been a very good football team this year, but not great to punt on.

Lamar Jackson has 3 games over 225+ Passing Yards this year and only 50% of them have been 200+.

The Rams are middle of the road when it comes to pass yards allowed this year, averaging 219.8 per game this year to opposing QBs, will we see Lamar get to that 225+ number this game?

The Rams have failed to cover the line in each of their last five games as underdogs given how strong Baltimore’s defence has been this year, I think the Ravens cover comfortably here.

My Bets

  • Ravens -7 @ $1.90
  • Lamar Jackson 225+ Passing Yards
  • Zay Flowers 45+ Receiving Yards
CHICAGO BEARS V DETROIT LIONS
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It’s another NFC North showdown on Monday morning, Chicago will host the Lions.

They only saw each other for the first time this year two weeks ago and the Lions needed a late comeback to secure the W over their rivals.

Lion’s QB Jared Goff had his worst game of the year and the only game this season where he threw multiple interceptions (he threw three for those wondering) and has not thrown once since.

The Lions are $1.53 to win and the line is a dismal 3.5 points, I think the bookies have got this wrong.

Everyone has bad days and the last time they met was Goff’s, the Lions should wipe the floor with Chi-Town here.

I’m taking the Lions to cover and having a flirt on 14+.

My Bets

  • Lions -3.5 @ $1.98
  • Lions 14+ @ $4.25
  • Jared Goff 275+ Passing Yards
  • Sam LaPorta 60+ Receiving Yards
CLEVELAND BROWNS VS JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
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Truly a nightmare of a game to do the form on.

Joe Flacco ended up starting for the Browns last week, his first game of 2023 but the Browns may be without Amari Cooper this week who suffered a concussion and the Jaguars are dealing with a high ankle sprain to their franchise man Trevor Lawrence.

The Jags have opened as $2.45 underdogs despite CJ Beathard looking not terrible a the backend of MNF.

The points line is only slightly higher than the Steelers and Pats.

Just dismal stuff all round.

My Bets 

  • Over 31 Points @ $1.90
  • Travis Etienne 125+ Rushing + Receiving Combined Yards
  • Travis Etienne Anytime Touchdown Scorer
NEW YORK JETS VS HOUSTON TEXANS
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CJ Stroud heads to Metlife Stadium this week for a big test against the Jets defence.

While NY’s offense has been a factory of sadness, their defence has been incredibly tough to do anything on, they average 20 points allowed per game and are thirrd in the league for least pass yards allowed with just 176.6 yards allowed per game.

The Jets also have the fourth best rush defence in the league, allowing just 90.8 yards to opposing RBs.

It’s going to be a good test for Stroud this week, this will be the toughest defence he’s played this season and a strong showing in this outing could see him seriously join the MVP conversation.

My Bets

  • Texans -5.5 @ $1.90
  • CJ Stroud 250+ Passing Yards
  • Dameon Pierce Anytime Touchdown Scorer
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS V CAROLINA PANTHERS
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The Panthers are very lucky, three of their last five games this season are against the NFC South, which means they do in fact have a chance to finish with a few wins under their belt.

We saw some actual flashes from Bryce Young last week in their 21-18 loss to the Bucs. It was the best pass protection the #1 overall pick has had all year and he took full advantage of it.

New Orleans are tied with Carolina as the team that sacks the QB the least this year.

Both teams Average 1.6 sacks a game and I know I sound like a broken record but if the Panthers O-line brings the same energy they did last week, they have a real chance of winning here.

Last time they met the Saints were lucky to escape with a 20-17 win over the Panthers.

I know I’m crazy, I know I’m very biased towards Bryce Young but I truly see the Panthers winning this game.

If you’re not with me, take them to cover at least.

My Bets

  • Panthers +5 @ $1.90
  • Panthers H2H @ $3
  • Bryce Young 225+ Passing Yards
  • Jonathon Mingo 60+ Receiving
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
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After knocking off the Eagles, Brock Purdy and the 49ers have the opportunity to beat another bird team this week and This time it’s one they have a little bit more history with.

The Seahawks had a hell of a game against the Cowboys on TNF, Geno was electric as was DK Metcalf, they showed that they can hang with playoff calibre teams.

However the 49ers are a different animal this season, as we saw last week vs Philly.

These two sides met just two weeks ago (honestly, wtf is going on with this year’s schedule?) and the 49ers coasted home comfortably by 18 points.

I can see a similar thing happening here.

My Bets

  • 49ers 14+ @ $2.20
  • Brock Purdy 250+ Passing Yards
  • Brandon Aiyuk Anytime Touchdown
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS VS MINNESOTA VIKINGS
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Are we finally getting Justin Jefferson back this week?!

It is one to monitor ahead of this game, he’s been on IR for five games and was activated off injury reserve just before the Vikings went on their bye week.

Minnesota are currently the sixth seed in the NFC and you’d think that getting JJettas would really bolster their playoff aspirations.

The Raiders on the other hand are probably done for the year if you ask me, nothing about them sparks any joy.

I’m banking on the return of the best receiver in the league.

My Bets

  • Vikings -3 @ $1.90
  • Justin Jefferson 75+ Receiving Yards
  • Justin Jefferson Anytime Touchdown
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS BUFFALO BILLS
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It’s historically one of the best matchups of the modern era but this year the question really is “Chiefs by how much?”.

At 6-6 with an away from home record of 1-4, Josh Allen and the Bills might have officially been figured out.

They’re very short underdogs at $2.20 coming off their bye week and the Chiefs just lost to the Packers but I can’t see KC losing two in a row, can you?

Kansas City has gone 3-2 in their last five games against the Bills and have won their last 11 games following a loss.

Buffalo have some massive problems this year and I think things will go from bad to worse in this matchup.

My Bets

  • Chiefs -2.5 @ $1.90
  • Isiah Pacheco 60+ Rushing Yards
  • Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS DENVER BRONCOS
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Everyone knew the Chargers would beat the Pats last week but my god did they try really hard to once again cock it up.

Somehow, the bookies favour them over Denver who despite losing to the Texans last week, have really put on a very good late season surge.

The Chargers have only won two games at home this year, one against the Raiders, the other against the Bears…

I think the Broncos win this one, nothing about the Chargers is good this year (except Herbert, but there’s only so much he can do).

Broncos Country, let’s ride.

My Bets

  • Broncos H2H @ $2.30
  • Javonte Williams 50+ Rushing Yards
  • Javonte Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer
DALLAS COWBOYS V PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
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The schedule has been rough to Philly on the back end of the year.

Last week the 49ers, this week they take on probably the only other team that can win the Super Bowl out of the NFC.

Dak is cooking and last week the Eagles got roasted. Philly are going to need to get their act together quickly if they want a chance of winning and if any team can turn it around, it’s them.

The touch up they copped last week might’ve been the loss they needed to really take it deep into the playoffs this year.

Being reminded that they are infact beatable should see the Eagles really show up and put in for this one.

The Cowboys are $1.52 to the Eagles $2.55 and Philly are a great price for a team with only two losses on the year.

All the mail is leading towards the Cows though, they’ve won each of their last 14 home games and the home team has covered the line in nine of the last 10 games between the Eagles and Cowboys.

But the more I look at this matchup, the more Philly are calling my name.

Very easily a game that will be won by a field goal.

My Bets

  • Eagles 1-13 @ $2.85
  • AJ Brown 75+ Receiving Yards
  • Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown
NEW YORK GIANTS V GREEN BAY PACKERS
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For some strange reason, we have two MNF games on at the exact same time.

Jordan Love and the Packers travel to Metlife to towel up the remains of the NY Giants.

Love is starting to heat up and sure the Giants are on a two game win streak but they beat the Commies and the Pats… hardly football teams.

My Bets

  • Packers 14+ @ $3.20
  • Jordan Love 275+ Passing Yards
  • Jayden Reed Anytime Touchdown
MIAMI DOLPHINS V TENNESSEE TITANS
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To wrap up Week 14 we have the Dolphins pummeling another sub 0.500 team.

The Titans will head to Miami to try and stop this Dolphins side and we all know that won’t happen.

Tua, Tyreek and Achane are all going to cook once again.

Keeping this one simple.

My Bets

  • Dolphins 14+ @ $1.78
  • Tyreek Hill Anytime Touchdown
  • De’Von Achane Anytime Touchdown
FOGS' FANTASY TEAM
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Another week, another Fantasy Multi that fell agonisingly short.

All we needed last week was two yards from Keenan Allen and 15 from Etienne but it was not to be.

The show goes on, I’ve studied the matchups for my Fantasy team multi and let me tell you, there are some serious studs with great matchups this week.

Just to recap in Week 13 we had:

  • Quarterback: Tua Tagovailoa Over 225+ Passing Yards
  • Runningback: Travis Etienne 60+ Rushing Yards X
  • Runningback: Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ Rushing Yards
  • Wide Receiver: Tyreek Hill 60+ Receiving Yards 
  • Wide Receiver: Keenan Allen 60+ Receiving Yards X
  • Multi: $4.48

Week 13s Fantasy team looks like this:

  • Quarterback: Dak Prescott Over 225+ Passing Yards 
  • Runningback: Christian McCaffrey 60+ Rushing Yards
  • Runningback: Isiah Pacheco 60+ Rushing Yards
  • Wide Receiver: Tyreek Hill 60+ Receiving Yards 
  • Wide Receiver: Mike Evans 60+ Receiving Yards