Training camps are officially underway and the countdown is well and truly on for Week 1 of the 2023/24 NFL season.
We’ve got another very exciting rookie class, familiar faces in new jerseys and it wouldn’t be the NFL without a little bit of drama (running backs deserve to get paid).
Ever since the draft, I’ve been itching for the football to come back.
I’ve been heavily invested in this off season and one of the ways I keep myself occupied when things are a bit quiet at work is by scrolling through all of the markets we currently offer for the upcoming season.
We did fairly well on these futures last year and I’m very keen to have another crack this season, so I have gone over all 32 teams in the National Football League and picked my favourite markets for each team.
Feel free to read the whole thing, or scroll to your favourite team, it doesn’t bother me!
If you like what you see, feel free to jump into the NFL Open Group on the Neds App and say g’day!
We have a heap of like-minded NFL punters in there who are always up at 4am on a Monday watching the early games.
I’ve also thrown all 133 of the bets I’m about to mention in there to make it super easy for you to find the ones that you like!
So strap yourself in, I present to you Punters: Fogs’ NFL Futures Forecast
Disclaimer: I mainly tip overs markets. We’re a positive group of NFL Punters. If I see a market that I reckon should go unders, I prefer to avoid. We’re not here to cheer for people’s downfalls.
Super Bowl LVIII
There are about five teams at the top of the market that I could make a case for at the moment, but the team I backed the second the draft finished was the Philadelphia Eagles. At time of writing they are $7.75 but I got them at $8.25.
Philly were just three points away from lifting the Lombardi last season. They had an incredible run thanks to Jalen Hurts’ breakout year and they have not taken a backwards step this season.
Their defence just got a whole lot tougher thanks to an incredible draft. Philadelphia’s defence is basically the entire Georgia team that just won back-to-back national championships.
I’m sticking with Philly, I think they’ll do big things this year.
Back Philadelphia Eagles to win the 2023/24 Super Bowl @ $7.75
MVP
If you were one of the many listeners of the Neds NFL Punting Podcast last year, you’d know about the mega man-crush I have on Joe Burrow, I love everything about him on and off the field, and to no one’s surprise, he’s who I’m backing this season for MVP.
Joe came fairly close last season but the Bengals didn’t start the season well and that cost him in the end, Joey B is second-favourite in the market at the moment behind Mahomes at $7.50 and I think that this could be the year.
With another year in the league and the same core around him, we could see a monster year from Joe Shiesty.
Back Joe Burrow to win MVP @ $7.50
NFC NORTH
I’m starting this year’s futures forecast with the NFC North.
Last season the Vikings won it by four games, and while they’ve had a few personnel changes and are no longer betting favourites, I still like the Vikings to win the division and I think they’re great value at $4.
Back The Minnesota Vikings NFC North Winners @ $4
Minnesota Vikings
After this Netflix series, nobody will doubt Kirk Cousins' toughness or commitment again. #Vikings pic.twitter.com/lmJd3kSui0
— Minnesota Sports Fan (@realmnsportsfan) July 13, 2023
Watching Quarterback on Netflix has made me a huge fan of Kirk Cousins and I hope the Vikings’ o-line does a better job of protecting him this year!
The Viking offensive line gave up a lot of QB hits last year and their defence was one of the worst in the league. More than once last season, Cousins and co were required to comeback from some big deficits in order to win.
The Vikings season win over/under is set at 8.5 which I think they should go over comfortably.
They still have Justin Jefferson who, in my eyes, is the best WR in the league. I like him to destroy his receiving lines and bring Kirk Cousins along for the ride.
Back The Vikings Over 8.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.80
Back Kirk Cousins Over 4350.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Kirk Cousins Over 28.5 Regular Season Passing TDs @ $1.87
Back Justin Jefferson Over 1350.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Back Justin Jefferson Over 8.5 Regular Season Touchdowns @ $1.80
Detroit Lions
They were playing a game?
The Lions are a team who have improved greatly over the last few seasons.
Jared Goff has had his doubters over the years, but I truly in my heart of hearts believe he will be the Lions’ franchise man for a while and I reckon Detroit think so too.
Their offense has drastically improved over the off season. Amon-Ra St. Brown is one of the best receivers in the league, they’ve drafted two studs by the names of Jahmyr Gibbs and Sam Laporta, and will get Jameson Williams back after the first six weeks. The Lions could be scary this year.
They will improve on last year’s 9-8 record and are favourites to win the North, but as I said earlier, I think the Vikings still win the division.
Back Detroit Lions Over 9.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.70
Back Jared Goff Over 3975.5 Regular Season Pass Yards @ $1.87
Back Jared Goff Over 25.5 Regular Season Touchdowns @ $1.87
Back Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 950.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Back Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 5.5 Regular Season Touchdowns @ $1.80
Green Bay Packers
63 days until The Green Bay Packers kickoff.
Allow me to provide you a 63 yard visual of what’s to come this season.
Love 🤝 Watson.pic.twitter.com/YCIiAtiLVB
— RELAX (@itzzSKL) July 9, 2023
The Packers are officially in their post-Aaron Rodgers era.
Last season, Green Bay finished with an 8-9 record. While I’m excited about Jordan Love, I think there may be a slight regression this season in the amount of games the Packers win.
Second-year wide receiver Christian Watson will do good things this season but I don’t see the Packers posing as much of a threat in the North as they had previously.
There are a couple Green Bay markets jumping out at me, but it’s very much a wait-and-see year in my opinion.
Back Jordan Love Under 21.5 Regular Season Passing Touchdown @ $1.87
Back Christian Watson Over 775.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Back Christian Watson Over 4.5 Regular Season Touchdowns @ $1.87
Chicago Bears
Sometimes you just randomly remember when Justin Fields did this.pic.twitter.com/DklkoqcE8h
— DraftKings (@DraftKings) July 20, 2023
The Chicago Bears had the worst record in the league last season at 3-14.
They did go and get some pieces — DJ Moore was a great addition to this team, but the rebuild is far from over and I think the market has overreacted.
I still don’t think they will be much of a threat, but I like what Fields can do with his legs. Last year the Quarterback rushed for 1,143 yards. I wouldn’t mind seeing him do that again this season.
Back Chicago Bears Under 7.5 Regular Season Wins @ $2.00 (One of my best for the season)
Back Justin Fields Over 825.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back Justin Fields Over 6.5 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns @ $1.87
AFC NORTH
Over to the AFC North, which could possibly be my favourite and the most competitive division in football.
Last year the Bengals won the North with a 12-4 record.
While this division has continued to improve across the board, I don’t think anyone in this division is catching the Bengals this season and they are who I’m backing to win the AFC North.
Back The Cincinnati Bengals to win the AFC North @ $2.25
Cincinnati Bengals
“Let’s Fu***** Go Joe Burrow”
Absolutely legendary interview.
— Joe Shiesty (@JoeCoolStan) July 12, 2023
We heard earlier about the Bengals’ 12-4 record last season, and the bookies reckon they will be about there again this time around.
It’s going to be a squeeze, but I have the Bengals penciled in for another 12-4 season this year. It’s just a bloody shame their win line is set at 11.5.
If you scrolled straight here from the top without reading my MVP tip, I reckon it’s Joey Burrow’s year. I’m expecting big things from him and Ja’Marr Chase this season.
Ja’Marr missed a big chunk of games last season but was on pace to beat what was already an incredible rookie year.
If Ja’Marr stays healthy (which I’m backing) he should smash these season lines.
I’m having a big piece of the Bengals this season.
Back The Cincinnati Bengals Over 11.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.95
Back Joe Burrow Over 4450.5 Regular Season Pass Yards @ $1.87
Back Ja’Marr Chase Over 1250.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Back Ja’Marr Chase Over 10.5 Regular Season Touchdowns @ $1.87
Baltimore Ravens
LAMAR JACKSON DEEP ACCURACY pic.twitter.com/maF4pFT8mS
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) September 13, 2020
The Ravens have hired Todd Monken from Georgia to be their new OC and I think that’s massive gain for a team that went 10-7 last season.
Monken is all about stretching the field and throwing the ball far more often, which is a massive contrast to the Ravens philosophy of RUNNING. THE. DAMN. BALL.
He’s already been the league MVP, but I see this as potentially Lamar Jackson’s best year as a QB.
The addition of Odell Beckham Jr and rookie Zay Flowers to the Ravens should be huge and I am backing Lamar for big pass yards this year.
Back Baltimore Ravens Over 9.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.70
Back Lamar Jackson to have 4000+ Regular Season Pass Yards @ $5 (Yeah I’m having a proper crack)
Back Lamar Jackson Over 23.5 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Back Mark Andrews Over 875.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Back Odell Beckham Jr. Over 575.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Pittsburgh Steelers
Kenny Pickett had a 97.6 QBR when targeting George Pickens this season.
That is the best QBR by any QB targeting any WR this season with a minimum of 50 attempts 😳pic.twitter.com/gs5LsbkeSv
— Rico 🧃 (@SteelersRuinMe) July 19, 2023
This is the most competitive division in football and it’s very likely we see three teams in the AFC North this season with double-digit wins.
We were only one win away from seeing it last year — the Steelers finished 9-8 in 2022 and should improve on that effort in 2023.
Second-year Quarterback Kenny Pickett is one player I’m tipping for a breakout season. He had a hell of a rookie season and I see things only getting better for him this year.
We don’t have any markets for him at the moment but I think Diontae Johnson will be massive for the Steelers this season. He had a bizarre 2022 stat line of 85 rec, 880 yards and 0 touchdowns. That won’t happen again.
George Pickens will also eat in this offense.
Back Pittsburgh Steelers Over 8.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.70
Back Kenny Pickett Over 3250.5 Regular Season Pass Yards @ $1.87
Back Najee Harris Over 950.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back George Pickens Over 750.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Cleveland Browns
HYPE: Browns RB Coach Stump Mitchell believes Nick Chubb could average 6.0 YPC and lead the league in rushing in 2023 🏃♂️💨
How many yards is Chubb going for?pic.twitter.com/cFJe9WbfYm
— SleeperNFL (@SleeperNFL) July 17, 2023
Rounding out the AFC North, we come to Cleveland.
The Browns finished 7-10 last year and honestly I think they’re the one team in this division that doesn’t improve this season.
Quarterback Deshaun Watson is another year past his off-field controversy, but I just don’t know if the Browns have it this year.
This is one of the few teams I’m taking unders on.
Back Cleveland Browns Under 8.5 Regular Season Wins @ $2.20
Back Deshaun Watson Under 3650.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Nick Chubb Under 1250.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.78
NFC EAST
The NFC East is where I believe we will see the Super Bowl winner from this year. As I mentioned at the top of the article, I’ve backed the Eagles to win it all after their impressive defensive pick ups in the draft.
No other team in the NFC East comes close to the Eagles and they should win the division with ease.
Back The Philadelphia Eagles to win the NFC East @ $1.96
Philadelphia Eagles
53 Days until #Eagles Football!
Hurts to Quez for 53yd TD! #FlyEaglesFly @JalenHurts | @Mronesx_ pic.twitter.com/mzl9uXio5q
— All About The Birds (@AATBirds) July 19, 2023
The Eagles went 14-3 last year, and while I don’t know if they’ll improve on that number of total wins, I believe they will absolutley be up there once again.
The bookies have their season win line set at 10.5 which I am running, not walking, to.
The Eagles are one of the best teams in the NFL and another team I’m backing pretty strongly.
Back Philadelphia Eagles Over 10.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.65
Back Jalen Hurts Over 3650.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Jalen Hurts Over 22.5 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Back AJ Brown Over 1050.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Back AJ Brown Over 7.5 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns @ $1.80
Back Dallas Goedert Over 600.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Dallas Cowboys
CeeDee Lamb highlights for your Saturday morning #Cowboys pic.twitter.com/c1CkFz4X9R
— Ernie The Cowboys Fan (@es3_09) July 15, 2023
The Cowboys are up next and while a lot of people are bullish on them, I don’t see them improving on their 12-5 record last year.
I’ve never been able to back QB Dak Prescott with confidence, I wouldn’t call myself a hater, but I just can’t get behind him.
What I can get behind is CeeDee Lamb breaking out as one of the top receivers in the league this year.
Lamb finished with 107 rec, 1359 yards and nine touchdowns in 2022 and I reckon he smashes those numbers this year.
He is now the main mouth to feed in Dallas and he’s a bloke that I will back heavily and try to draft in fantasy this season.
Tony Pollard officially owns the backfield as well after the Cowboys did not re-sign Zeke Elliot.
Expect a large amount of volume for him this year.
Back Dallas Cowboys Over 9.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.65
Back Dak Prescott Under 4025.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Tony Pollard Over 1050.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back CeeDee Lamb to have 1500+ Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $7.00
New York Giants
Daniel Jones has 2 passing TDs and 2 rushing TDs 🔥
Leading the @Giants to the playoffs
📺: #INDvsNYG on CBS
📱: Stream on NFL+ https://t.co/zh9dgfvI65 pic.twitter.com/k3hl8CejFf— NFL (@NFL) January 1, 2023
The Giants surprised a lot of people last season, exceeding everyone’s expectations with a very impressive playoff run, but I think they got lucky. I don’t believe they get close to that again this year.
The contract dispute dramas with Saquon will more than likely have a knock on effect if they don’t sort it out soon, and without him they don’t really have an offense.
That being said — I’m taking overs on a few Daniel Jones markets. The volume of passes he will have to throw if Saquon doesn’t play will go up exponentially.
Back New York Giants Under 8.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.60
Back Daniel Jones Over 17.5 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $1.80
Back Darren Waller Over 4.5 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns @ $1.80
Washington Commanders
Brian Robinson came out to “Many Men” by 50 Cent after being shot 2 times before the season. One of the hardest walk outs of all time 🔥💯
https://t.co/kfyvF17j8c— Daily Loud (@DailyLoud) October 10, 2022
Speaking of teams I have zero confidence in — let’s talk the Commanders.
They finished 8-8-1 last year and are another team I thought were quite lucky in patches.
There’s questions in the QB room once again. Is Sam Howell really their QB of the future?
I see them having a good crack at Caleb Williams in the draft next year.
The one player that stays productive in a garbage team is Scary Terry (Terry McLaurin) — the only player I’m backing in Washington.
Back Washington Commanders Under 6.5 Regular Season Wins @ $2.10
Back Terry McLaurin Over 900.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Back Terry McLaurin Over 4.5 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns @ $1.87
AFC EAST
The AFC East is a division that looks incredibly similar in my eyes to the AFC North — three teams that have greatly improved and one that could be on the slide.
Buffalo are my pick to win this AFC East once again.
Despite a few teams on the come, they are still head-and-shoulders above the pack and $2.25 looks a decent price for a team that won 13 games last year.
Back Buffalo Bills to win the AFC East @ $2.25
Buffalo Bills
Everybody has to train in the off-season. 😤
Follow us on TikTok: https://t.co/F85BQNi69v pic.twitter.com/IPT51Uu4q2
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) July 18, 2023
Josh Allen could very easily be the MVP this season. He’s come bloody close these last few years and as long as he is healthy, Allen will always be in the conversation.
The Bills drafted a brand new weapon a genuine freak of a tight end in Dalton Kincaid. Combine that with Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis and James Cook doing big things in the backfield, that is an all-star offense, my football-loving friends.
I’m having big plays on Buffalo this season.
Back Buffalo Bills Over 10.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.70
Back Josh Allen Over 4350.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Josh Allen Over 32.5 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Back Josh Allen Over 550.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back Josh Allen Over 6.5 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns @ $1.75
(Might as well back him for MVP at $7.50 if these rev your tractor)
Back James Cook Over 4.5 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Miami Dolphins
Tua Tagovailoa game of the year last year against the Baltimore Ravens🔥
– 36 completions
– 469 yards passing
– 6 touchdowns (all career highs)And an epic comeback😤‼️🐬 #FinsUp pic.twitter.com/Q48SR0JYV4
— 𝙁𝙞𝙣𝙨🐬 (@FinsPhanatics) July 19, 2023
Miami’s season solely hinges on whether star quarterback Tua Tagovailoa can stay on the field.
He had a couple of freak injuries last season but still finished with some good numbers — 3548 passing yards, 25 touchdowns and eight interceptions in just 13 games.
If Tua stays healthy, this will be a double-digit-winning team. They finished 9-8 last year and should hopefully improve. Just quietly… Tua’s over/unders this year are bloody close to what he did in 13 games. If he plays 16/17 games this year, overs clear comfortably.
Keep an eye out for rookie runningback De’Von Achane. The man is seriously fast!
Back Miami Dolphins Over 9.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.95
Back Tua Tagovailoa Over 3850.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Tua Tagovailoa Over 26.5 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Back Tyreek Hill to have 1500+ Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $2.75
New England Patriots
*Patriots hand the ball off*
Rhamondre Stevenson: https://t.co/0Xmj36UKP1
— Justin (@Justin_14P) December 2, 2022
The Patriots finished 8-9 last year and are the team in this division that I think go backwards this year.
There’s nothing that gets me excited here except running back Rhamondre Stevenson, but I still get the feeling old Bill will do something weird with him.
The Pats will have an early pick next year.
Back New England Patriots Under 7.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.95
Back Rhamondre Stevenson Over 1000.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back Rhamondre Stevenson Over 6.5 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns @ $1.70
New York Jets
#Jets star young players Sauce Gardner, Breece Hall, and Garrett Wilson burn the iconic cheesehead that Sauce took from Lambeau field when the Jets beat the Packers
😂😂😂
pic.twitter.com/WMVtq7CpA3— NFL Notifications (@NFLNotify) March 10, 2023
The Jets are one of the teams I’m most interested in this season for a few reasons: Sauce Gardner is easily my favourite defensive player of all time (I don’t really watch defence), I’m hoping Breece Hall makes a great comeback after doing is ACL, and Garrett Wilson could emerge as one of the top wide receivers in the league this season.
It’s not a hot take to say they improved last year, and now they add Aaron Freaking Rodgers to a side that balled out with a QB carousel last year.
They are second-favourites to win the AFC East for a reason, and I believe they could be one of the most exciting teams to watch this year.
Back New York Jets Over 9.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.70
Back Aaron Rodgers to have 4000+ Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.70
Back Aaron Rodgers to have 30+ Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $2.00
Back Breece Hall Over 875.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back Breece Hall Over 6.5 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns @ $2.00
Back Garrett Wilson Over 1150.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
NFC SOUTH
The NFC South could quite possibly be the worst division in football.
The Bucs won the division last year with a record of 8-9 and I don’t think it’s drastically improved.
The money is with the Saints ($2.20) to win the NFC South but I like the Falcons at $3.20. I shall explain my thoughts below.
Back Atlanta Falcons to win the NFC South @ $3.20
Atlanta Falcons
Bijan Robinson’s footwork is TOO sharp 😳
The Falcons reportedly plan to use Robinson at “multiple positions” within the offense.
Tyler Allgeier (Falcons RB) even said he’s already “learning from” Robinson on how to be an all-around back.
One NFL scout said he believes… pic.twitter.com/QHm4INHBd5
— NFL Rookie Watch (@NFLRookieWatxh) July 14, 2023
I am a big fan of what the Falcons are building.
Desmond Ridder, Drake London, Kyle Pitts and now Bijan Robinson? As in, one of the greatest running back prospects of all time? Um, yeah, consider my tractor well and truly revved.
Given that the Falcons have that good a core in a relatively easy division, I am backing them to be a playoff team.
Back Atlanta Falcons Over 8.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.88
Back Desmond Ridder Over 2600.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Desmond Ridder Over 15.5 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Back Bijan Robinson Over 1100.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back Bijan Robinson Over 8.5 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Back Kyle Pitts Over 700.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Carolina Panthers
The Panthers are a team I reckon the bookies have got absolutley right — which unfortunately makes them very hard to punt on.
I’m a HUGE Bryce Young fan (just ask my poor Dynasty League mates) and I think people are seriously underrating not only what Bryce will do in the league, but what the Panthers will do this season as a whole.
The Panthers finished 7-10 last year and I reckon they’ll finish one better on 8-9 this year.
Problem is, the bookies have their season total wins at 7.5 so I’ve taken the over and I’m hoping we juuuuuust scrape home.
Back Carolina Panthers Over 7.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.80
Back Bryce Young Over 3400.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Bryce Young Over 21.5 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $1.95
New Orleans Saints
Jake Haener's rookie photoshoot 😅 pic.twitter.com/KJ1jkQURxB
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) May 22, 2023
The Saints are the current favourites to win the NFC South at $2.20 but I think that’s a monster overreach.
Don’t get me wrong, I love the move to bring in Derek Carr and this could be the year Michael Thomas finally stays healthy. But I don’t think they improve that much on last year’s 7-10 record.
Alvin Kamara could still get suspended and I wouldn’t say the free agent signings of Carr and running back Jamal Williams have improved the side — I’d say they’ve brought some stability.
Derek Carr will get his numbers in this team but I think the bookies have overreacted.
Back New Orleans Saints Under 9.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.75
Back Derek Carr to have 4000+ Regular Season Passing Yards @ $2.00
Back Derek Carr Over 23.5 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
"Highlights" from the #Buccaneers QB competition of Baker Mayfield and Kyle Trask.
Looks ugly right now.. 🤦♂️
Coach Todd Bowles said they both received equal amount of 1st-team reps.
(📽 @kyle_burger) https://t.co/kt9TG8qb14
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) May 30, 2023
I’m wrapping up the NFC South with another team I think will slide this year — Tampa Bay.
I love Baker Mayfield, I’ve been a big believer his whole career and one would argue he has his best wider receiver room of his career. But I just can’t back him with confidence anymore.
It is a very big prove-it year for the former 2018 first overall pick, and I would really love to be wrong about my Bucs predictions this year.
There are still a lot of great players on this team and if it all clicks, we could be looking back and thinking: “why did we ever count this Tampa side out?”
All that said, I’m not expecting much from the Buccaneers this year and I need to back that up with a few futures bets.
Back Tampa Bay Under 6.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.70
Back Rachaad White Over 675.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87 (Another one of my best for the year, that is a crazy low number of yards)
Back Rachaad White Over 4.5 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Back Mike Evans Over 925.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
AFC SOUTH
Something about the South. Outside of Jacksonville, the AFC South looks very bleak.
If you’re looking to back a winner here, it’s the Jaguars and it’s not close.
Back Jacksonville Jaguars to win the AFC South @ $1.70
Jacksonville Jaguars
Trevor Lawrence will win the 2023 NFL MVP. pic.twitter.com/ewUkboe9pp
— NFL Schedule Leaks (@NFLSchedule2024) July 17, 2023
I believe the Jags will be the next team in the league that takes a step into that next tier of Super Bowl contention, up with the Chiefs/Bengals/Bills/Eagles.
Doug Pederson has done an incredible job in such a short time and now they get Calvin Ridley as well?!
Scary things are happening in Jacksonville right now.
Trevor Lawrence is about to step into his prime. I think he will be huge this year and I want to have a crack on a lot of pieces from the Jags.
Back Jacksonville Jaguars Over 10.5 Regular Season Wins @ $2.20
Back Trevor Lawrence to have 4000+ Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.90
Back Trevor Lawrence to have 30+ Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $5 (Another one of my absolute bests)
Back Travis Etienne Jr Over 950.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back Calvin Ridley Over 900.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87 (You’re not allowed to back this yourself Calvin)
Back Evan Engram Over 650.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.95
Tennessee Titans
Is DeAndre Hopkins’ career in danger?
Randy Moss.
Andre Johnson.
Julio Jones.Each future Hall of Famers who joined the Titans looked like a shell of the player they once were. And it looks DeAndre Hopkins could be next.
Moss and Johnson had less than 100 yards receiving for… pic.twitter.com/YhRbfgaJNo
— ClutchPoints (@ClutchPoints) July 19, 2023
I’m not buying anything the Titans are selling this season and I think the lack of player markets we are currently offering for Tennessee says everything you need to know.
How many games will Ryan Tannehill play before rookie Will Levis gets a go? Levis slid into the second round of the draft, is he going to stink? How will those said QBs use Deandre Hopkins and Treylon Burks? What XFL team will Malik Willis sign with?
I’m getting a couple of pieces of Derrick Henry here and then staying well away.
Back Tennessee Titans Under 7.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.88
Back Derrick Henry Over 9.5 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Indianapolis Colts
Jim lrsay saw Anthony Richardson hit the roof on his pro day and that was enough pic.twitter.com/RLI8WDoZyb
— Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) April 28, 2023
The Colts finished 4-12 last year and are another team that people are probably a bit too high on in my eyes.
Yes, Jonathan Taylor returns from injury, but there are far too many question marks around this team for me to back them with confidence.
It’s a wait-and-see year for me on the Colts this season. I will sit back and enjoy the Anthony Richardson experience this year and potentially have a bit more of a crack on them in 2024.
They should improve on 4-12, but I wouldn’t go booking you Colts Super Bowl tattoo just yet.
Back Indianapolis Colts Over 6.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.75
Back Anthony Richardson Under 2700.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Jonathan Taylor Over 1150.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back Jonathan Taylor Under 8.5 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns @ $2.10 (AR15 is going to steal a few rushing touchdowns this year)
Houston Texans
CJ Stroud is what the #Texans needed! pic.twitter.com/JobOV6SOOy
— Texans Comeback Szn (@Sportsbetszn) July 16, 2023
Houston is a team I believe will improve this year but are probably still one draft away from fully turning it around.
I love what CJ Stroud can do and I think rookie Tank Dell will be a name we’re talking about a lot in coming years.
Big things are coming for Houston, just not this season.
There aren’t too many Texans markets that have caught my eye, but I’d like to cheer CJ on.
Back Houston Texans Over 5.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.65
Back CJ Stroud Over 3300.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Dameon Pierce Over 900.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
NFC WEST
The NFC West ~should~ be more competitive this season in my eyes.
The 49ers are still miles in front of the rest, and are who I’m backing to win the NFC West.
Back San Francisco 49ers to win the NFC West @ $1.55
San Francisco 49ers
Two minutes of Deebo Samuel getting the football far away from the endzone, running very fast, then scoring six points.@19problemz | @49ers pic.twitter.com/DDKC04ikF9
— NFL (@NFL) June 20, 2023
The 49ers should win this division comfortably.
They have one of, if not the best, defensive units in the league and that unit has already proven enough to carry QBs to success.
That’s the biggest question mark over the 49ers this season. Who is the long term signal caller? Is it Lance or Purdy? The 49ers traded a lot of assets to get Trey Lance, but Brock Purdy showed not only his capability last year, but that he is HIM, Himmy Neutron, Himbo Slice and Himothee Chalamet all rolled up into one package.
Both Quarterbacks are incredibly capable and the 49ers have some seriously good headaches about their future.
I like almost all the overs markets for skill position yards for San Fran.
Back San Francisco 49ers Over 10.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.60
Back Christian McCaffrey Over 900.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back Deebo Samuel Over 725.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.80
Back George Kittle Over 725.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Seattle Seahawks
#Seahawks DK Metcalf plays every down with such intensity. pic.twitter.com/RacadiST8G @NFLFilms
— NFL Rumors (@nflrums) July 14, 2023
The Seahawks look like a proper UNIT this season my guys. Are you kidding me? They have talent all over the park.
I love the draft picks of Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Zach Charbonnet — not great for fantasy, but great for Geno Smith and the Seahawks. They’ve got depth and talent out their butts.
Not to mention the defence is pretty handy too, Tariq Woolen was unlucky not to be DROY last season.
In 2022 the Seahawks finished 9-8 and made the playoffs, and they’ve only gotten better in my opinion. I can make a case for Seattle to be a double-digit-win team this year.
Back Seattle Seahawks Over 8.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.65
Back Geno Smith Over 3900.5 Regular Season Passing Yards @ $1.87
Back Geno Smith Over 26.5 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Back Kenneth Walker Under 950.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87 (Love him but that back field is now a two headed monster with Charbonnet)
Back DK Metcalf Over 950.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Los Angeles Rams
Cheers to more Cooper Kupp house calls in 2023.
Comeback szn is on.
— Joe Orrico (@NoExpertFF) July 15, 2023
I think the LA Rams are honestly very slept-on.
They had a shocker of a year last year at 5-12, but were hit very hard with injuries just a year after winning the Super Bowl.
Will they challenge the 49ers? Probably not, but Cooper Kupp and Matt Stafford are back and should finish as at least an 8-9 team.
I’m drinking the Cam Akers Kool-Aid too — RB1 fantasy season inbound.
Back Los Angeles Rams Over 6.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.88
Back Cam Akers Over 750.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
Back Cam Akers Over 6.5 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns @ $1.87
Back Cooper Kupp to have 1500+ Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $2.75
Arizona Cardinals
Can’t forget bad ass toddler Kyler Murray https://t.co/iZrHWF0pzZ pic.twitter.com/aa92uNBXZi
— Waveón Delacroix (@JaySmoovness) July 16, 2023
Arizona. The team that people are projecting to be the worst team in the league.
It’s a very fair assessment — they weren’t great last season. Star quarterback Kyler Murray missed the back end of the year due to an ACL injury, but there is a bit of chatter he could be back for week 1.
Honestly it’s worth staying away from any and all Arizona markets this season, but I’m going to have a flash on The Cardinals here and take on their 4.5 total wins over/under market.
If Kyler indeed does return early from his injury, five wins could very easily be in the realm of possibility.
I am in no way, shape or form backing The Cardinals with confidence this season however. Plenty of other bets I like in this article waaaaaaay more.
Back Arizona Cardinals Over 4.5 Regular Season Wins @ $2.25 (It’s a bloody good price if Murray comes back, big if though)
Back James Conner Over 750.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards @ $1.87
AFC WEST
Lastly, the AFC West.
A two-horse race in my eyes that will inevitably be won by the Chiefs by a few lengths.
The Chiefs are $1.60 for a reason to win the division and that’s who I am with.
Back Kansas City Chiefs to win the AFC West @ $1.60
Kansas City Chiefs
Love this kind of football. Maxx Crosby vs. Pat Mahomes pic.twitter.com/naMElg0RYU
— Return Of The Crooklyn Doge-rs 🇯🇲 (@ChrisDyceII) July 13, 2023
Mahomes is the greatest footballer I’ve ever seen.
Granted I’m only 26, but my god is he head and shoulders above anyone else.
I’m backing another big year for the Chiefs, but only backing Patty. Outside of Travis Kelce (who the bookies have made very tough to back with some spot on yardage markets), we really don’t know which receivers Mahomes will look to most.
One thing I do know is that Mahomes is a gunslinger and he will find a way to get the ball to every single offensive weapon the Chiefs have this year.
The markets I’m backing for Mahomes contradict my Joe Burrow MVP bet but, you know, we’re here to have a crack aren’t we?
Back Kansas City Chiefs Over 11.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.70
Back Patrick Mahomes to have 5000+ Regular Season Passing Yards @ $2.40
Back Patrick Mahomes to have 40+ Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $2.50
Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert has obvious QB1 overall upside but nobody even cares…
here’s why 🧵👇
— Chris O'Brien (@17gamepace) July 18, 2023
The Chargers look poised for another big year once again. They finished 10-7 last year and aren’t going away anytime soon.
The Chargers drafted TCU wide receiver Quentin Johnson in the first round, who will be great for Justin Herbert. The Chargers just need Mike Williams and Keenan Allen to stay healthy and they could be a serious problem for the AFC.
Herbert was only 300yds off 5,000 last year (4738 yards for those playing at home) and I like him a lot to throw for 5,000 this year.
Injuries and a murky WR room makes me unsure who to back in the wide receiver department so like the Chiefs, I’m only looking at Justin Herbert markets. Oh yeah, and Austin Ekeler.
Back Los Angeles Chargers Over 9.5 Regular Season wins @ $1.80
Back Justin Herbert Over 5000+ Regular Season Passing Yards @ $3.75
Back Justin Herbert Over 30+ Regular Season Passing Touchdowns @ $1.75
Back Austin Ekeler Over 800.5 Regular Season Rushing Yards $1.80
Las Vegas Raiders
Davante Adams shoving a cameraman after losing to KC was crazy pic.twitter.com/B6Urw2KJvJ
— 🦆 (26-14) ¯_(ツ)_/¯ (@cantguarddurant) July 17, 2023
The Las Vegas Raiders are a team that will go backwards in my eyes.
Carried by Josh Jacobs last year who may sit out due to contract issues, nothing about this team excites me and I am not willing to back a lot of their markets.
Stay. Away.
Back Las Vegas Raiders Under 7.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.55
Back Davante Adam Under 1300.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Denver Broncos
Russell Wilson: “BRONCOS COUNTRY LET’S RIDE”
The ride: pic.twitter.com/aPbkMEi65J
— Pickswise (@Pickswise) November 27, 2022
Lastly, the Denver Broncos.
They were hot garbage last year at 5-12 but the signing of Super Coach Sean Payton should see them improve.
I think the bookies have them right this year. They won’t be a playoff team but I think 8-9 feels right for this team. Their season win line sits at 8.5 and I will be backing the unders here.
This should hopefully be the year that Jerry Jeudy lives up to his potential as well.
Back Denver Broncos Under 8.5 Regular Season Wins @ $1.75
Back Jerry Jeudy Over 875.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards @ $1.87
Back Jerry Jeudy Over 5.5 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns @ $1.87