Is this the closest top four we’ve ever seen? I know we often say “it’s anyone’s to win” but this year’s Super Bowl truly is.
The Eagles are the slightest favourites to lift the Lombardi at the time of pubish, paying $3.30 and the 49ers are considered the least likely at $4.25.
It’s all shaping up to be a monster round of Conference Championships and there’s a case to be made for every team but unfortunately only two team can win this weekend.
I’ve run my eyes over the playoff schedule this week and have you covered for tips.
Here is my preview of the Conference Championships!
Check out the nonsense we get up to to on the Neds NFL Punting Podcast too, there is a link to that below!
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There’s been no funny business in the NFC this season, the two best teams in the conference have made it to the finals and the Eagles will come into this one as slight favourites. $1.67 to the 49ers $2.20.
I think that’s real value for the 49ers, Philly have home field advantage and an offense that clearly can dominate sides but what have I been banging on about all season?
The 49ers defence.
Yes Hurts v Purdy is a monster storyline coming into this game but I think this game will be won and lost on the defensive side of the ball, both these teams have incredible front sevens but for me, the 49ers secondary combined with their stud D-Line is what leans me towards a 49ers win here.
They absolutley suffocated the Cowboys and while the Eagles have a better offence, the 49ers have talent all over the park and will impose their play style on Philly.
I’m going to give myself a little bit of insurance and take the 49ers at the line which is +2.5.
I’m expecting this game to be another low scoring affair so I’m going to be throwing the unders in my SGM as well.
SGM Tip: 49ers H2H, Under 46.5, Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD @ $7.27
The Chiefs started the week as underdogs due to the sickening ankle injury Mahomes copped in the Divisional game but have once again come back into favourites as the news comes out that Patty will most likely play.
The Bengals look primed and ready to go for this game, they’ve won their last 10 games and here is a stat for you. Joe Burrow is 3-0 against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in his career.
If one bloke knows how to beat the Chiefs, it’s Joey B.
It is tough to think that the injury to Mahomes will not effect him at all, yes he’s an extra week removed from injuring it but after he hurt it against the Jags, he attempted 0 passes outside of the pocket and seemingly lost all mobility.
If he’s heavily strapped up and has to play the same way here, the Bengals will find it easier to shut him down.
The Chiefs will need to rely on Pacheco and their RB room to open up their receivers this week, if you’re looking for Chiefs players to get on, I’d be taking the overs on Pacheco’s rushing yards and maybe even a TD for him.
BUT
I’m backing the Bengals to win, I’ve had a Bengals v 49ers Super Bowl penciled in since the start of the playoffs and I’m sticking to my guns.
SGM Tip: Bengals H2H, Joe Burrow over 2+ Pass TDs, Pacheco Over 49.5 Rushing Yards @ $4.85