We’re slowly creeping towards the pointy end of the NFL Season.
Just when we thought we knew how this year was going to play out, the NFL did a full 180 and all of a sudden, the league is anyone’s to win.
Both Super Bowl front runners the Eagles and the Bills took Ls in Week 10 which has blown both conferences wide open.
The Vikings (8-1) now have the equal best record in the league with the Eagles.
Over in the AFC the Chiefs are on a serious rip and tear and continue to be shortening in the Super Bowl markets.
There’s a lot to love this week in the NFL and I’ve got your back as always for tips!
Here is my preview for Week 11 of the NFL.
There’s plenty of action each week on the Neds NFL Punting Podcast too, check that out below!
A much better TNF game than last week!
The Packers looked really good last week against the Cowboys.
Christian Watson’s break out was a breath of fresh air for GB fans and we finally saw the Packers play to the level we expect them to play at week in and week out.
They are $1.55 favourites to beat the Titans who I personally haven’t rated all year.
While they have some great talent but haven’t really put it together this year despite their 6-3 record.
Even though they are on top of the AFC South, I don’t think they truly have a chance of a strong playoff run this year.
We took a pretty juicy SGM on this game on the Podcast. Packers H2H, Derrick Henry over 102.5 Rush Yards, Treylon Burks 30+ Receiving and Aaron Jones 100+ Scrimmage Yards. $11 come along for the ride!
Anytime TD Tip: Christian Watson
Buffalo could be on a bit of a slide here.
Granted they had every opportunity to win against the Vikings last week but they’re still 0-2 so far in November this year (How good is making up your own stats)
The Bills need to lean on the run a lot more if they want to get back to their winning ways.
They had a huge lead on the Vikes in the first half when Singletary was moving the chains but they shied away from it in the second half and well… the rest is history.
The Bills should beat the Browns and I couldn’t pick what side of the 8 point line I want to be on so I’m taking the Bills 1-13 to cover both sides.
Anytime TD Tip: Stefon Diggs
The AFC East could just be the most competitive division in football right now.
If the playoffs were to start this week, all four teams would be in the playoffs. Unheard of!
This week the Jets travel to New England to take on the Patriots and if you’re one of those weird units that salivates at a low scoring defensive arm wrestle – this is the game for you!
Both of these sides have incredible defenses and QBs that haven’t quite proven themselves yet and I think the bookies haven’t quite got it right.
I’m expecting the Jets to win this one and I like a play on the Head to Head at $2.40
Anytime TD Tip: James Robinson
The Eagles unbeaten run has finally come to a close and the Colts got an “upset” win over the Raiders.
It was a crazy week for both of these sides but I’m expecting it to be business as usual for Philly this week.
The Commanders we’re on the field for the majority of that game and gave the Eagles literally zero chance of scoring points.
I can’t see the Colts doing that to them.
JT is back though… but it’s still Eagles to cover for me.
Anytime TD Tip: Miles Sanders
Justin Fields is doing it all by himself in Chicago at the moment.
He’s proving the doubters wrong and is putting up some huge numbers with his legs at the moment.
Both these teams are on losing streaks but I’ve seen a lot more upside from Chi-Town in recent weeks.
Can I back them to win with confidence?
No… but I like them to cover.
Anytime TD Tip: David Montgomery
Yes the Panthers won last week but it was a TNF snoozer and they weren’t playing the Baltimore Ravens.
The Ravens have the easiest run home to the playoffs in the league and are probably going to win the AFC North comfortably just like they’re going to win this one comfortably.
The line is 13 points so I’m taking Ravens 14+ for an extra 10c value!
Anytime TD Tip: Isaiah Likely
Truly a tough game to tip.
Both sides have under performed this season and the Rams have just lost Cooper Kupp.
There is also a huge chance that Stafford misses another week due to his concussion.
I think for that reason I like the Saints to win but they need to play ten times better than they did last week.
Saints 1-13 is the value play I believe.
Anytime TD Tip: Alvin Kamara
The Commanders beat the Eagles therefore the Commanders are the best team in the NFL. That’s how it works right?
They will be up and about after that huge MNF win and will take on the Texans who aren’t quite on the same level as Philly.
The way they kept their offense on the field and didn’t give the Eagles a chance to make a play worked so well and if they were smart, they’d do it again here.
Washington to cover.
Anytime TD Tip: Terry McLaurin
Yes the Lions are on a two game win streak but I think that all comes crashing down against the Giants.
The Giants are such a revitalised team this year and have taken down some pretty big opponents, I think that they should win quite comfortably in a matchup with Detroit.
Which WR is Danny Dimes going to throw to this game? That’s the hardest thing to tip maybe a Kenny Golladay revenge game? (Unlikely)
Anytime TD Tip: Daniel Jones
I just threw up in my mouth a little bit when I saw this matchup.
Both teams are awful and I want no part of this at all.
Broncos to cover and I will be making a conscious effort not to even check the score in this one.
Anytime TD Tip: Courtland Sutton
This could be the game of the week in my opinion.
AFC North showdown and when they last met in Week 1.
The Steelers got the chocolates, sacked my boy Joey Burrow 7 times and intercepted him 4 times just to top it all off.
The Steelers are a huge chance of winning this one.
Yes the Bengals are coming off a bye and the game before that Joe Mixon scored 5 TDs but the Steelers know how to win this matchup and they do it a lot.
I’m feeling risky and I’m tipping against the Bengals.
Anytime TD Tip: George Pickens
This is a bit silly isn’t it.
The Vikings have just taken down the Bills and are outsiders to the Cowboys?
I don’t know about that one.
The Vikings are the value play here, how often do you get an 8-1 team @ $2.02?
Get on that.
Anytime TD Tip: Dalvin Cook
My tip of the Chargers being Super Bowl Champions this year has not aged well.
Granted they have been without Keenan Allen and Mike Williams for majority of the season but you still have to win football games and at 5-4 they’re not winning as many as I thought.
This game should be a huge shot out.
The points line is set at 50.5 and both Mahomes and Herbert love to sling the ball.
The Chiefs are just far too good this year. I’m backing them to cover.
Anytime TD Tip: Kadarius Toney
MNF games have been unpredictable (at least for me) this year.
The 49ers have won two in a row and have found a winning formula.
What I find bizarre though is that Eli Mitchell out touched CMC last week. I did not expect them to be a Running Back Committee.
The Cards are in all sorts this year and I think the 9ers should be too good for them.
Anytime TD Tip: Elijah Mitchell