Premier League Game Week 38 Tips & Preview

The 2021/22 Premier League campaign is set to come to a glorious end over the weekend as several key fixtures are set to be played out!

All 10 matches will kickoff at 1:00 AM Monday morning (AEST), with a thrilling two-hour rollercoaster of emotions set to follow.

Reds fans across the world will be praying for Aston Villa to claim their first competition point away to City since 2007.

While the Gunners’ faithful may require more than divine intervention, needing to see Norwich upset Tottenham in order to keep their Champions League dream alive.

Elsewhere, Leeds and Burnley both enter the final round with one foot in the English Championship.

For the last time this season, we have previewed all 10 Premier League fixtures and provided our best betting plays below!

SGM: Draw & Both Teams to Score $4.58

A point here is enough for Brighton to secure a top 10 finish alongside a record points haul in the top-flight for the club.

For West Ham, a win could potentially see them finish the season in 6th, should Man U fail to get the job done against Crystal Palace.

Literally, nothing has been able to separate this pair in recent history, with their last six H2H finishing as scoring draws!

The Hammers have never toppled the Seagulls in the Premier League (6D,3L), with their last victory coming via the Championship in 2011!

There’s not much separating this pair in the way of quality, as such I’ll be backing this incredible streak of scoring draws to continue here.

United to Win & Ronaldo to Score $3.06

Man United’s fall from grace is complete, as the former giants prepare to fight for their place in the Europa League next season.

They’ll be taking on Crystal Palace, who faces a quick turnaround following a disappointing performance against the Toffees on Friday morning.

The Eagles are yet to claim a win at home against the Red Devils since the Premier League was formed in ’92 (4D,8L)!

The only shining light in United’s otherwise horror season has been the return of Cristiano Ronaldo, the 37-year-old has scored 18 league goals (3rd highest), just under a third of the club’s tally!

I’m backing Ronaldo to see off the season on a high and lift United to a humbling 61 competition points.

Brentford $2.35

It’s do-or-die for Leeds in their final game of the season with relegation waiting for them should they fail to pick up points at Brentford Community Stadium.

The Whites are currently sitting 18th on the table, behind Burnley on goal difference alone (-20).

Meanwhile, the Bees are sitting 11th, with the potential to move up one spot into the top half of the table.

Brentford has only fallen to defeat twice across their last ten league fixtures (7W,1D), and are looking to claim three straight victories to finish off a successful return to the top-flight.

Leeds have absolutely capitulated down the final stretch of the season, picking up as many red cards as they have scored goals during their final five games (2).

Brentford hasn’t been flustered by much this season, and I’m tipping them to send Leeds back to the Championship in what should be a feisty contest.

Newcastle $3.25

Burnley has their Premier League future in their hands, with a win guaranteeing their survival for another season.

If history is anything to go by they might be in a spot of bother, losing their last three games against the Toons, while also going down in their previous four Game Week 38 fixtures!

Meanwhile, the Toons have won five of their last six final day appearances in the Prem, only dropping points to Liverpool in 2019/20.

Newcastle are riding a high following their elite 2-0 performance against the Gunners last week and represents great value at over $3 in the H2H market here.

Man City and Over 4.5 Goals $3.90

A win here will see Manchester City lift the Premier League Trophy for the fourth time in five years!

A fourth title for Pep will see him become the 2nd most successful manager behind Fergie (13) in the EPL era, surpassing both Jose and Wenger along the way.

City has won 11 straight home fixtures against the Villans, outscoring their opponents 47-7!!!

Stevie G never managed to win a title with the Reds during his playing days, and I sure as hell can’t see him helping his side to the title as a manager either.

I’m backing City to secure the silverware in emphatic style.

Tottenham (-2) $2.55

Tottenham’s Champions League dreams are firmly in their own hands, with a draw against bottom of the table Norwich enough to see Conte’s side secure a top-four finish.

Though it would be the most ‘Spursy’ thing for the North Londoners to bottle this opportunity, I just can not see it happening against a side of the Canaries ilk.

Norwich has only won three games at home this season, all of which have arrived against sides sitting 15th or below on the league table!

The Canaries are yet to register a point at home against a current top seven side, losing all six such fixtures at an aggregate of 20-1.

The Spurs have lost just once across their last ten league starts (7W,2D), conceding just five goals across the trip.

Tottenham claimed a comfortable 3-0 victory against Norwich in the reverse fixture and I’m backing them to cover a -2 goal handicap much to the displeasure of Gunners’ fans across the globe!

SGM: Leicester to Win & Vardy to Score $2.43

Leicester looks to finish off the season with a run of four games without defeat when they play host to the Saints at King Power stadium.

Alternatively, Southampton are out to avoid four straight defeats and restore what’s left of their pride before the season’s final whistle.

This game represents a dead rubber for the Saints, who can neither move up nor down from their humbling 15th position on the table.

Jamie Vardy has six final day goals to his name, only Harry Kane (8) can boast more among active EPL players.

I’m backing Vardy and the Foxes to finish their campaign on a high at the expense of the Saints here.

SGM: Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score $2.99

This is a must-win contest for Arsenal if they hold out any hope of playing Champions League Football for the first time in five years.

They’ll be faced with an Everton side who just secured their Prem survival with a Friday morning (AEST) 3-2 victory over Crystal Palace.

The spice has been taken out of this contest with that win, with Arsenal now the only side with some skin in the game here.

Surprisingly, Everton has won the last three H2Hs against the Gunners, while both teams have scored in three of the pairs’ last four meetings.

I’m backing the Gunners to get over the line at home, though they’ll need to score multiple times to do so.


Liverpool to nil $1.83

Liverpool needs to win their last fixture and pray City drops points to Aston Villa to keep their quadruple dreams alive.

Meanwhile, the Wolves have locked in a top-half finish for the third time in four years despite a horror run of form (2D, 4L).

The Reds have won their last six fixtures against the Wolves, five of which were accompanied by a clean sheet.

Liverpool has won their last seven league matches and should make light work of a toothless Wolves outfit here.

Chelsea (-3) $4.00

Chelsea welcomes the Hornets to Stamford Bridge, with third place already locked up.

The Blues have never lost a PL home game against the Hornets (6W,1D), scoring  2+ goals in all seven meetings.

Chelsea holds the record for the biggest final-day victory, with an 8-0 performance against Wigan back in 2010!

That record could come under jeopardy here, as Watford bid farewell to the top-flight following a truly pathetic season.