Daily Racing Tips – Saturday, September 18

each way
Caulfield: Race 3 (1:40pm)
No. 2 Scorched Earth

I’m confident that Scorched Earth can bounce back in the Thousand Guineas Prelude this afternoon.

Scorched Earth was excellent during her autumn preparation and went to the paddock after recording consecutive wins in the Murray Bridge Magic Millions race and the Listed St Albans at The Valley.

She filled the minors in the Quezette Stakes here when resuming, and while she was a little flat in the Atlantic Jewel last time, I think that fitter third-up and getting out to 1400m is going to prove ideal for her.

Caulfield: Race 5 (2:55pm)
No. 1 General Beau

I am a big fan of General Beau, and he will take a power of beating in beating in the Pinchapoo Plate.

The Brazen Beau colt was excellent during his two-year-old season, winning the Preview and Prelude races in the Neds Blue Diamond series before ending his prep fifth in the Group 1 feature.

He only just missed in the Vain Stakes when fresh, and while he could only manage a fifth placing in the McNeil last time, I’m confident that today’s drop in class will pay dividends.

Randwick: Race 8 (3:55pm)
No. 4 Masked Crusader

I have fast become a big fan of Masked Crusader, and the $5 about him in The Shorts betting (at publish) could prove big overs.

The Toronado gelding broke through for a deserved Group 1 win in the William Reid Stakes earlier this year, and he owned one of the standout performances of the new season when charging home from the tail of the field in The Heath.

With natural improvement, I think he’s going to take a power of beating again.

best bet
Randwick: Race 9 (4:35pm)
No. 3 Montefilia

The Kingston Town Stakes shapes as a very winnable race for Montefilia.

She was a standout of last year’s Spring Carnival, and recorded consecutive wins in the Flight Stakes and Spring Champion Stakes most notably. She wasn’t able to return to winning form in autumn, but Montefilia still returned several eye-catching performances and filled the minors in the Rosehill Guineas most notably.

She kept all of her best work for late when third, beaten a little over two lengths in the Group 2 Chelmsford when fresh, and with benefit from that hit-out and getting out to 2000m, she is my best bet of the day.