NRL Round 9 Tips & Preview

Every team is a third of the way through their campaign with eight rounds of the 2021 NRL season completed.

There’s a lot to like about this weekend including another chapter being added to the Neds rivalry between the Wests Tigers and Gold Coast Titans.

That will follow a huge clash between Souths and the Storm to kick things off on Thursday night.

We’ve found our best bets for each game right here so check out our NRL Tips below!

South Sydney v Melbourne
Souths +7.5 @ $2.00

One winning streak is coming to an end here as the Storm and Souths get the weekend underway with an absolute blockbuster.

Souths lost in Round 1 to the Storm but have been largely faultless since then, winning their next seven and covering the line in six of those.

As for the Storm, they stuttered a bit following that season opener, going down to Parramatta and Penrith but have since found their footing, winning five in a row and scoring at least 40 points in four of those games.

Chances are neither team will look to take a backwards step and history is pointing towards a pretty close game here.

The Storm might have won their last five against the Bunnies, which is enough to scare me off an outright upset but a 7.5 point line in favour of the visitors seems far too high.

Penrith v Cronulla
Panthers -17.5 & Under 41.5 @ $5.25

Nobody in their right mind is going to back against the Panthers here, how could you justify it after their perfect start to the season?

The question is how much faith do you have in the Panthers defence to clamp down on the Sharks.

Since their 48 point explosion over the Cowboys the Sharks have really hit the wall managing just 66 total points in the last four games.

It’s not great reading when they come up against the best defence in the NRL, the Panthers have given up just 60 points to date.

I’ll back the Penrith defence to tighten up and keep the Sharks in single digits as they record a comfortable win.

Parramatta v Sydney Roosters
Eels -4.5 @ $2.00

The Roosters have been a lot of fun to watch this season but at some point the injuries are going to catch up to them.

We might see some cracks begin to show when they face the Eels on Friday night as the home side chases its eighth win of the season.

Even with the talent still on the field for the Roosters, I just can’t see them keeping pace with Parra.

They have scored 30 or more points in four of their last five and if they can hit the accelerator in this one this could be over early.

Canberra v Newcastle
Newcastle to Win @ $2.60

The Knights might not be in great shape, but they are looking a hell of a lot better than the Raiders at the moment.

I can’t justify how the Raiders are such clear favourites in this market considering they have lost their last four, including a big loss to the Bunnies last weekend.

The Knights will have the ability to really get after Canberra’s vulnerable defence and if this does become a shootout, there’s only one team I’m backing here.

Wests Tigers v Gold Coast Titans
Over 43.5 Total Points @ $1.90

It’s the Neds Derby at Campbelltown as the two clubs that proudly wear our logo face off.

Asking us to find a winner here is like asking someone to choose their favourite child but the good news is there is still plenty of value in this market.

Titans games have produced plenty of points with at least one team scoring 30 points in five of their last six, something that has also been the cast in three of the Tigers last five.

Both sides have had their moments defensively but I’m leaning towards backing the over here considering the way this season is playing out.

I can see both sides finding their way into the 20’s at least which puts overs very much in play.

North Queensland v Brisbane
Over 44.5 Total Points @ $1.90

There was a lot to like about the final 65 minutes from the Broncos against the Titans as they overcame a horrendous start to pick up their second win of the campaign.

North Queensland came close to pulling off a comeback of their own last weekend, trailing 24-4 at halftime before going down 24-20 to the Warriors.

If there is one big takeaway from these two teams lately, it’s that both are very capable of scoring a lot of points and equally, if not more capable of conceding a lot of points.

The idea of Brisbane being the “big brother” of this rivalry has vanished in the last 18 months so I can’t even argue against the Cowboys being favoured.

I’ll take another dip into the total points market since I can see both sides comfortably topping 20 points, especially if the Broncos display the same urgency they did last week.

Manly v New Zealand
Manly to Cover -6.5 @ $1.90

Four weeks after their first meeting of the season, Manly and the Warriors face off again, this time at Brookvale.

That 13-12 victory (along with the return of one Tom Trbojevic) has given Manly a new lease of life winning two and losing to Penrith since then.

I really am starting to buy into the idea that the Sea Eagles are a good enough team to be in the mix most weeks.

Not to mention the Warriors’ extended stay in Gosford has to be taking a toll on the team, especially with a potential return home edging closer and closer.

Even with Josh Aloiai and Marty Taupau set to miss this one, I still can’t get off this feeling that Manly have the confidence to get themselves home here.

St George-Illawarra v Canterbury
St George Illawarra by 1-12 @ $3.05

It feels like an eternity since the Dragons were winners of four in a row and a part of the NRL’s top four.

Thanks to three straight defeats they once again embody a perfectly mediocre team with a record of 4-4.

The good news is they can get themselves back above average against the competition’s traffic cones in the form of the Bulldogs.

Canterbury was brought back to earth in unceremonious fashion on the weekend getting belted by 22 points by the red hot Eels.

As tempting as it is to back against the Bulldogs at all costs, the Dragons are not exactly setting the world alight with their current form.

I’ll find a middle ground and take St George to win but the Bulldogs to be able to claim a moral victory of sorts.