AFL Round 10 Tips & Preview

For Round 10 in our AFL Tips and Preview, we’re going deep into our wildest fantasies.

No, not THOSE fantasies, my AFL Fantasy team, given we’re now offering AFL fantasy points betting for every match this weekend.

So as we rack up the points within our own leagues, we can hopefully make a tidy little profit in the process.

A big weekend of footy awaits us, so without further ado, let’s rip into the Round 10 tips and preview.

BRISBANE LIONS v RICHMOND
SGM - Brisbane Line (-16.5), Daniel Rich 100+ Fantasy Points, Jarryd Lyons 110+ Fantasy Points @ $4

Friday night footy comes to the Gabba with the mighty Brisbane Lions (proudly sponsored by Neds) playing host to reigning premiers Richmond.

The Brisbane Lions (proudly sponsored by Neds) have won their past five games and did it easy over cross-town rivals the Suns in the Q-Clash last week.

Richmond had one of the great backs against the wall wins against the Giants last week and can never, ever be written off.

The Gabba holds no fear for the Tigers, who return to the scene of their 2020 Grand Final triumph.

Brisbane holds no fear of Richmond, finally breaking their 15 game losing streak against the Tiges in last year’s qualifying final.

No matter how you look at this game, it should be a beauty.

In terms of value for this game,  I’ve gone with a Same Game Multi.

The Lions should cover the line, even if Richmond puts up a fight.

Daniel Rich is averaging 99.7 fantasy points per game this season and Jarryd Lions is becoming a must-have commodity for coaches, with an average of 114.4 per game.

The three legs and $4 on offer makes for a great value play to start the round.

CARLTON v HAWTHORN
SGM – Harry McKay to Kick 4+ Goals/Sam Walsh 110+ Fantasy Points @ $3.22

Surely Carlton doesn’t drop this game at the MCG on Saturday?

Hawthorn has been woeful of late and these sorts of games are the ones that Carlton just can’t lose.

For the Blues to get the job done, they’ll need big Harry McKay to dominate from the goal square.

He is currently leading the Coleman Medal with 33 sausage rolls so far in season 2021, there’s no reason why he can’t let rip with a bag of 4+.

Sam Walsh is also proving his worth, not only for Carlton’s number one draft pick from 2018, but just about anyone who has him in their fantasy team is getting plenty of value out of the Blues no. 18, with an average of 107.8 points per match.

Win, lose or draw – you’d expect Harry to kick a bag and Walsh to find plenty of the footy (and rack up the points in the process).

 

GEELONG v GOLD COAST SUNS
Touk Miller (Gold Coast Suns) to Have 110+ AFL Fantasy Points @ $2.20

All puns intended, it would be a fantasy to think that the Gold Coast Suns will upset Geelong at GMHBA Stadium this Saturday, however, it’s not a fantasy when it comes to finding a bit of value on them.

That value lies in the Sun’s hard-working midfielder in Touk Miller.

Miller is enjoying a stellar season at an individual level, averaging 28.9 disposals,15.6 kicks, and 13.3 handballs per game – a season average of 11.5 AFL fantasy points.

This puts Miller as the 6th highest-ranked player in the current 2021 AFL Fantasy rankings, with the high $846,000 salary on offer.

With the $2.20 on offer for him to have 110+ points on Saturday, I’m happy to have a piece of that, even if he’s likely to be on the receiving end of yet another Geelong slaughter at the Cattery.

ADELAIDE v MELBOURNE
Melbourne 40+ Points / Clayton Oliver 110+ AFL Fantasy Points @ $4.13

There’s no reason why Melbourne won’t make it 10-0 to start the season as they make the trip to Adelaide Oval to take on the Crows.

The Crows had a terrific start to the season, but have gone on to lose their past five matches with reality has caught up with them.

Melbourne just knows how to win right now and it’s truly a dee-lightful time to keep your eye on the red and the blue.

Clayton Oliver is proving his worth in Melbourne’s dynamic midfield as an absolute ball magnet, averaging 31.4 disposals per game this season – that’s an average of 110.7 fantasy points.

He keeps Dees coach Simon Goodwin happy in the real world and keyboard coaches happy in the fantasy stakes.

The Dees to belt the Crows and Oliver to rack up the fantasy points in a Same Game Multi = Happy Days.

WESTERN BULLDOGS v ST KILDA
SGM: Max King to Kick 3+ Goals / Adam Treloar to Have 100+ Fantasy Points @ $4.23

The Doggies will go into this game as the clear $1.28 favorite against the Saints ($3.75), however, we should be in for a highly entertaining contest this Saturday night at Marvel Stadium.

It’s been a big week for Saints young-gun Max King, the St Kilda forward agreed to a four-year contract extension keeping him at Moorabbin until 2026.

His kicking woes have been well documented, with just 1-5 in front of goal last week against Geelong, but there’s no reason to think he won’t get over his yips and be a dead-eye dick come Saturday night.

Adam Treloar has been an absolute star in the Dogs terrific start to season 2021 since arriving from the Pies during the off-season.

Averaging 26.2 disposals per game, along with a 97.3 season average in AFL fantasy, the man whom Collingwood still pays a part of his salary is very much proving his value for money – in more ways than one.

The combination of Max King getting his goal-kicking groove back and Adam Treloar doing what he does best makes for a tidy Same Game Multi at a very nice price.

FREMANTLE v SYDNEY
Jake Lloyd to Have 110+ Fantasy Points @ $2.02

After an extended road trip, Freo finally gets to play in front of their adoring home fans against the Swans at Optus Stadium this Saturday night.

This game is proving to be one of the hardest of the round to tip with the Dockers the narrow $1.87 favorites with the Swans at $1.94 at time of publishing.

With this being our special fantasy week here in the Neds AFL tips and preview, we turn our attention to Sydney’s Jake Lloyd.

The Swans ball-magnet has proven to be a blue-chip investment for players of both the AFL Fantasy and Supercoach variety, and he bloody loves playing against Fremantle.

Lloyd achieved his career-high disposals of 42 against the Dockers in Round 19, 2019, career-high handballs (21) and marks (15) against them in Round 9, 2018, and his record AFL fantasy points of 163 in that very same match.

Averaging 99.2 fantasy points per game in season 2021, he’s every chance to get over 110 points against his bunnies the Dockers on Saturday night and the $2 even money on offer is always worth taking.

GWS GIANTS v WEST COAST
SGM: GWS H2H / Jacob Hopper 90+ Fantasy Points @ $3.27

The Giants will rue their 28 point lead in the third quarter against the Tigers last week and go in as $2.15 underdogs as they face the West Coast Eagles ($1.72) on their home deck this Sunday.

West Coast has won four out of their past five games, but there’s always a hint of skepticism when they are playing outside of Perth.

GWS has shown to be quite competitive in the past five weeks and they are yet to lose a game at Giants Stadium so far in season 2021.

As for fantasy, Jacob Hopper has proven to be pretty damn reliable in the Giants midfield this season.

Always amongst, the 24-year-old is averaging 27.0 disposals per game and a season average of 89.0 fantasy points – fairly reliable numbers for anyone who has them in their team.

The Giants have proven to be reliable at home and Hopper reliable for fantasy players – the two-leg multi makes for a nice value play to kick off Sunday footy.

 

COLLINGWOOD v PORT ADELAIDE
SGM: Port (-19.5) / Ollie Wines to Have 110+ AFL Fantasy Points @ $4.20

It’s the Intellectual Property Derby – the IP Cup, as lowly Collingwood takes on flat-track bullies Port Adelaide with the teams at $1.01 to continue to bicker amongst each other as to who gets to wear the black and white prison bar jumper for years to come.

Jumper talk aside, this should amount to an easy win for Port Adelaide who will be on the rebound from a loss at home to the Doggies last week.

If Port can’t beat Collingwood, who has been struggling all season at the MCG this Sunday then you can basically write them off as a contender and cement them further as the competition’s flat track bullies.

Fantasy coaches who have Port’s Ollie Wines in their team reaped the benefits of the Power midfielder last week as he racked up a season-high performance of 130 fantasy points.

Averaging 31.3 disposals per game – 18.1 of them being handballs, Wines is amongst the Power’s and many a fantasy coach’s best week after the week.

Port to cover the line and Wines to have 110+ fantasy points makes for a top value same game multi in this clash.

ESSENDON v NORTH MELBOURNE
SGM: Dyson Heppell 90+ Fantasy Points, Jy Simpkin 100+ Fantasy Points, Zach Merrett 110+ Fantasy Points @ $4.58

Can North make it two in a row against their old rivals Essendon this Sunday?

Probably not, but it was a delight to see the Kangas chalk up a win last week – especially if you backed them! (humble brag)

We’ll finish fantasy week off with a three-leg multi with some of the key player’s keyboard coaches get plenty out of every round.

Bomber veteran Dyson Heppell is enjoying some fine form this season and is averaging 95.6 fantasy points, pencil him in for 90+ in the first leg.

North’s Jy Simpkin played a vital role in North’s drought-breaking win over Hawthorn last week with a season/career-high of 38 disposals and a whopping 142 fantasy points, Simpkin 100+ points make the second leg.

To finish off, we’re backing Bomber Zach Merrett for 110+, he had a tough day at the office last week at the office against Freo, tagged within an inch of his life but one can only expect he’ll bounce back to his dominant best.

All up – three fantasy legs to finish off our special fantasy-themed preview at the $4.58 price. Get around it.