Tuesday, March 2

San Antonio Spurs vs Brooklyn Nets, 12:40 pm
Nets -3.5

Kyrie is said to be back in the lineup here, which makes Nets -3.5 look like good value. Having managed a 17-12 record despite a negative point differential, I think the Spurs are overrated in the current market.

They’ve also been worse at home than they’ve been on the road, going just .500 straight up and ATS. Brooklyn have appeared to find a real groove of late, winning and covering 8 of their last 10 games. They’ve also been very good off a loss lately, which bodes well after losing to Dallas in primetime last time out.

The Spurs are also dealing with a handful of Covid absences here, which really weakens their rotation. They’ll be without White, Gay, Vassell, Johnson, and Weatherspoon, making them quite thin on the perimeter. This should open things up for Kyrie and Harden, allowing them to get the road win and cover here.

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets, 1 pm
Bulls +5.5

I’m expecting this to be an unpopular play, but I see some value in Chicago +5.5 points here. Denver just haven’t been the same side this season and they’re also dealing with several key injuries.

They’re expected to be without Harris, Millsap, and Green here – 3 frontline rotation pieces that match up well with the Bulls. Chicago also gets a bit of a scheduling advantage here after their match with Toronto yesterday was postponed.

The Bulls appear to have found their groove of late, winning and covering in 6 of their last 10 games. Denver have lost a few games as favourites recently and I can see this one being close down the stretch.