Buffalo River. Photo by Steve Hart.

2021 Tancred Stakes Day Tips & Preview

The Sydney autumn racing carnival continues this weekend at Rosehill with eight of the nine races taking place being black type.

That includes two Group 1s!

Our full 2021 Tancred Stakes Day Tips & Preview can be read below.

Race 1: Group 3 Schweppervescence (1400m) 12:45pm
No. 2 Saif

The Hawkes team have a handy two year old on their hands with Saif.

He broke through for his maiden win at Ballarat in February before finishing second behind Lightsaber at Group 2 level last start at Flemington.

That form is good enough to be competitive in a race of this quality.

Race 2: Group 3 Neville Sellwood Stakes (2000m) 1:20pm
No. 5 Looks Like Elvis

Looks Like Elvis has been competitive in both his runs so far this prep and this looks the right race for him third up from a spell.

The six year old gelding was beaten just over two lengths last start in the Ajax Stakes which is a race that I want to be following after Think It Over came out and won the Group 1 George Ryder last weekend.

Barrier two will help his chances.

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Race 3: Group 2 Tulloch Stakes (2000m) 1:55pm
No. 6 Favreau

The John Sargent trained Favreau is a very exciting prospect.

He had to cross heels and pick back up after running into dead ends at Canberra two back but when he did he showed a real turn of foot late to win.

He made it two in a row last start at Kembla Grange when running away from his rivals late over 1600m.

The son of Tavistock will only improve with the extra distance and he represents some good value in the Group 2 Tulloch Stakes.

Race 4: Group 2 Emancipation Stakes (1500m) 2:35pm
No. 1 Krone

Krone is a mare racing in fantastic form at the moment and I can’t see why she doesn’t just win again in the Emancipation Stakes.

This field is no tougher than her previous three wins and she meets others in the market at a similar weight as she did when winning the Group 1 Coolmore Classic last start.

The market can not get a good grip on this mare and I think they have again got the price wrong despite her favouritism.

Race 5: Group 3 Star Kingdom Stakes (1200m)
No. 2 Deprive

Deprive has not won a race since October 2019 when he took out the Group 3 Sydney Stakes at Royal Randwick.

The Godolphin six year old has been competitive at this level for a very long time and his first up effort in the Liverpool City Cup behind Think It Over was promising when beaten just over two lengths.

He does his best racing fresh and it has been a month in between runs and his trial leading into this was good.

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Race 6: Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m) 3:55pm
No. 8 Impecunious

Impecunious is having just her sixth trip to the races in this Group 1 event but she is a filly with plenty of natural ability.

Her last two runs at Group 2 level have been excellent firstly in the Armanasco at Caulfield where she finished within half a length of Yes Baby Yes and then when placing in the Phar Lap Stakes at this track.

She was cramped for room at a vital stage in her last start but she was doing her best work late suggesting the 2000m in the Vinery Stud Stakes will not be a problem.

A few of these at the top of the market are more dour, staying types whereas this filly has a good turn of foot which may be required to win this event.

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Race 7: Group 1 Tancred Stakes (2400m) 4:35pm
No. 7 Chapada

The 2021 Tancred Stakes is up for grabs this year with no real stand out and the betting reflects this.

The Michael Moroney trained Chapada profiles as the right horse for this race.

He is a progressive type of horse who comes into this race at his fourth run and the 2400m suits perfectly.

He was beaten just over a length in the Group 1 Australian Cup two back and was never given a chance the way the race was run in the Mornington Cup last start.

Tim Clark takes over and will steer from barrier seven.

 

best bet
Race 8: Group 3 Doncaster Prelude (1500m) 5:15pm
No. 5 Buffalo River

Buffalo River has been a frustrating horse for the punters having been in the top four at his last four in a row at under $5.00 every time.

He is another horse that comes out of the Group 2 Ajax Stakes that I have been using as a form guide when beaten just over a length.

A recent seven length trial win suggest that the horse is ready to win and he will appreciate the step back in grade for this assignment in the Doncaster Prelude.

Race 9: Benchmark 88 Handicap (1400m) 5:50pm
Box Trifecta - 6/8/10/12

I’ve picked out four in the last so let’s box them up and cross the fingers for a good finish to the day.