Friday, February 26

New York Knicks vs Sacramento Kings, 11:30 am
Knicks -1.5

The Kings are an absolute mess right now, having failed to win or cover in any of their last 8 games. This is the 4th game of their east-coast road swing and the front end of a b2b.

The Knicks have largely been a solid home side this season, going 8-7 both straight up and ATS. The likely absence of Elfrid Payton isn’t ideal here, but I’m banking on the Quickley and Rose duo to pick up the slack.

This is primarily a fade of Sacramento, who’ve been in very poor form for a while and have a poor scheduling spot here. A line of just 1.5 points gives us a few points of value on the Knicks by my numbers, which is enough to fire a bet here.

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers, 12 pm
Clippers -7.5

These baseball-type series tend to produce some weird results, but I’m playing it simple and backing the Clippers -7.5 here. 23-10 straight up and 19-14 ATS are impressive numbers, but I think the Clippers are even better than that.

They’ve finally got all of their key men available and look to have a favourable matchup against Memphis here. Memphis’ wing depth is the main weakness on their roster and I don’t see how they contain Kawhi and PG here. I also think Pat Bev is one of the better defensive options to put on Ja Morant.

The Clippers have been among the best road sides in the NBA this season, going 11-4 straight up and 10-5 ATS. On the contrary, Memphis have struggled at home, winning just 6 of 15 matches so far. I’m expecting big games from Kawhi and PG here as the Clippers notch an important road win.