Both sides have a few injury concerns here, but the tentative opening line is Atlanta -2.5. With Kawhi, PG, and Pat Beverley all listed as out, I’ll take my chances with the Hawks as small home favourites.
Kawhi and PG are the two best players on the Clippers by a country mile and their absence will make a huge impact. Pat Beverley being out is also far from ideal against the offensive-minded guards of Atlanta like Trae Young.
The Hawks haven’t been great this season, but they’re still competent and have gone 8-8 straight up and ATS. Young, Gallinari, Capela, and Reddish are all listed as questionable here, but that generally means they’re likely to play in the modern NBA. Overall, I think their offense does enough here to get the win and cover.