Contrarian plays have been doing relatively well of late and pretty much everyone is on Indiana here. I think this is a very good revenge spot for the Hornets and like them at the current line of +3.5.
Indiana are a really good 5-2 straight up and ATS on the road this season, which has led to them becoming somewhat overvalued in the market. Charlotte are rested after a long home stand and enter this clash completely healthy.
It’s tough to beat a side twice in a row in the NBA and the Hornets should be motivated after losing to this same Pacers side last time out. I’d expect this to be a close one late on, with the Hornets doing just enough to cover and potentially win outright.
They aren’t getting much public love, but the Spurs have been quietly plugging away this season. This is a very favourable schedule spot for them and I think +4 points is too generous against this Denver side.
The Nuggets are at the end of an extended road trip, with this being the last of their 5-game trip. Teams at the end of a long road trip don’t tend to play as well, especially struggling with jump shooting. Conversely, the Spurs have been on a long home stand and enter this clash essentially fully healthy.
They’ve also looked quite good of late, pulling off the upset win and cover against Boston last time out. Especially without Denver’s home court advantage, I like San Antonio to at least cover the +4 here.