The Grizzlies are absolutely decimated right now and I think there’s value on Charlotte as 3-point home favourites. Memphis have 8 players set to miss this clash, including key rotation players in Morant, Jackson, Winslow, and Melton.
Charlotte have looked reasonable so far, especially in their recent wins over Brooklyn and Dallas. They’ve got a relatively deep rotation and should be able to really press their advantage with the 2nd unit.
Memphis’ numbers were dreadful without Morant last time out and I’m not sure how they generate reliable offense going forward. This line has already gone up from the -2 opener and will probably increase further before tip-off.
Based on the opening moneyline price, I’d expect Denver to be favoured by around 4.5 points in this one. If Jamal Murray can go here, I like them in this spot to get the win and cover.
First off, this is a team that has really underperformed expectations so far and should be hungry for a win here. They’ve also got a huge advantage with Phoenix coming off a back-to-back and having to play at altitude.
While the Suns have impressed so far, I also think this Nuggets side matches up relatively well with them. Considering the back-to-back, I also wouldn’t be surprised if CP3 is out here, which would exacerbate Denver’s advantage.