UFC 256 – Tips & Preview

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno, Flyweight, Main Event
Figueiredo by KO

Deiveson Figueiredo opens as the convincing $1.35 favourite here, with Brandon Moreno the $3.25 underdog.

Figueiredo has had a very impressive career to date, entering this bout with a stellar 20-1 career record.

He is the current flyweight champion, defeating Joseph Benavidez earlier this year and defending his title twice so far.

Known as an excellent finisher for a flyweight, he already has 9 knockouts and 8 submissions to his name.

Brandon Moreno will be a worthy opponent, entering this bout with an impressive 18-5-1 record of his own.

He is in some excellent form, having gone undefeated in his 4 fights since joining the UFC.

Primarily a ground specialist, 10 of his career wins have come by submission.

Overall, I think that Figueiredo is a near flawless fighter at Flyweight and he’s got several matchup advantages here.

Not only can he hold his own against Moreno on the ground, he can absolutely dominate this one on the feet.

He has the talent and experience edge, having beaten a top-quality fighter in Benavidez twice this year.

Especially given his track record, I think the most likely outcome is a Figueiredo win by KO.

Tony Ferguson vs Charles Oliveira, Lightweight, Co-Main
Ferguson to Win

The unpredictable Tony Ferguson opens as a $1.60 favourite here, with Charles Oliveira instilled as a $2.35 underdog.

Ferguson has had a storied career to date, entering this bout with a 25-4 career record.

He went on an outstanding 12-fight win streak from 2013-2019, before getting knocked out by Justin Gaethje last time out.

Known primarily as an elite finisher, he has 12 knockouts and 8 submissions under his belt so far.

Charles Oliveira has also made waves at Lightweight, entering this bout with a 29-8-1 career record.

He is in career-best form, having won each of his last 7 fights against some top opponents.

Primarily a submission specialist, he has racked up numerous guillotines and rear naked chokes en route to 19 career submissions.

If Ferguson is at his best, it’s tough to look past him getting a win here.

Much like the main event matchup, Ferguson can hold his own on the ground, but has a major edge in a striking match.

He also has stellar takedown defence, so I can see limited submission opportunities for Oliveira.

Oliveira’s most common method of defeat is by knockout and that’s something I can see again here.

With all 3 win methods in play, I don’t mind the moneyline price on Ferguson in this one.

Ronaldo Souza vs Kevin Holland, Middleweight
Holland by KO/Points

Kevin Holland opens as a $1.67 favourite here, with Jacare Souza currently the $2.20 underdog.

Holland has had an impressive career to date, entering this bout with a 20-5 career record.

He has looked solid since joining the UFC in 2018, going 7-2 in that relatively short time span.

Another fighter who loves getting the finish, he has 9 knockouts and 7 submissions to his name so far.

One of the more storied fighters in Middleweight history, Jacare enters this bout with a 26-8-1 record.

Now 40 years of age, he has fallen off a little of late, winning just 2 of his last 6 contests.

An outstanding finishing specialist in his day, he has 8 knockouts and 14 submissions to his name so far.

I think Holland has a real shot at being a force in the Middleweight division and has a great chance to pick up a statement win here.

While Jacare has the edge on the ground, I expect Holland’s speed and power advantage to prove decisive in the striking game.

He is also more than adept at defending himself from both takedown and submission attempts.

The best value here definitely appears to be on the Holland by KO/Points double chance market.