I like the look of Toronto here, currently laying 1.5 points against the Spurs. Toronto are one of the best-coached sides in the NBA and were excellent off a loss last season.
They enter this match with all of their key players available, while the Spurs are still without Derrick White. The Spurs are also really thin on the wing and I’d expect them to struggle to match up with the likes of Siakam and Anunoby.
Toronto shot very poorly against New Orleans in game 1, something I wouldn’t expect against this poor Spurs defense. I don’t see the Spurs making that up on the other end of the floor, resulting in a relatively comfortable Raptors win here.
This projects as a very close matchup and I think there’s just too much value on Sacramento +4 here. Phoenix hype appears to be at it’s absolute apex right now and there could be value fading them over the coming games.
The Kings had a very impressive start to the season, going into Denver and sneaking a late win. Phoenix have a ton of expectations after their run in the bubble, but I think it’s time to temper expectations.
Home court is around 1.5 points right now and I wouldn’t put Phoenix 5.5 points better than Sacramento on a neutral. The Kings are a deep roster that should be competitive here. Especially if it goes to the free-throw game, I’ll happily take 4 points.