World Series – Game 6

LA Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays, 11:10 am
Over 7.5 Runs

This could very well be the last match of what has been a whirlwind MLB season.

I’ll be going back to the well with a total play here, going over 7.5 runs.

This play has been money so far during this series, cashing in 4 out of 5 games.

The Dodgers are going with a ‘by-committee’ approach at pitcher here, starting reliever Tony Gonsolin.

This didn’t work particularly well last time they tried it and I can see the Tampa bats having success as a result.

Despite his pedigree, Rays pitcher Blake Snell appears to have regressed of late.

He has struggled especially during these playoffs and I don’t think he matches up well with the Dodgers hitters.

Moreover, this ballpark is definitely friendly to the hitters and geared towards more high-scoring games.

The pitchers are also under huge pressure given the stakes involved and I can see one or both of these starters cracking.

Combine all of these factors and I think there’s value in backing over 7.5 runs again here.