This could very well be the last match of what has been a whirlwind MLB season.
I’ll be going back to the well with a total play here, going over 7.5 runs.
This play has been money so far during this series, cashing in 4 out of 5 games.
The Dodgers are going with a ‘by-committee’ approach at pitcher here, starting reliever Tony Gonsolin.
This didn’t work particularly well last time they tried it and I can see the Tampa bats having success as a result.
Despite his pedigree, Rays pitcher Blake Snell appears to have regressed of late.
He has struggled especially during these playoffs and I don’t think he matches up well with the Dodgers hitters.
Moreover, this ballpark is definitely friendly to the hitters and geared towards more high-scoring games.
The pitchers are also under huge pressure given the stakes involved and I can see one or both of these starters cracking.
Combine all of these factors and I think there’s value in backing over 7.5 runs again here.