I’m going for the line value play here, taking Tampa as $2.50 underdogs in game 1.
I think the Dodgers are overvalued in this spot, mainly due to Clayton Kershaw not being 100%.
Kershaw was one of the best pitchers in the regular season, but he has suffered a few recent injuries and his form has dipped noticeably in the playoffs.
He really struggled in the NLCS and I can see this Tampa batting lineup getting after him here.
On the flipside, I’ve been really impressed with what I’ve seen from Tyler Glasnow.
He was calm and composed in his two ALCS outings and appears to be in career-best form.
I think he matches up reasonably well with this Dodgers lineup and should put in a credible performance here.
If their hitters can match that on the offensive end, they’ve got a real chance of sneaking an upset.
At $2.50, the value is too good to ignore here.