UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs Sandhagen – Tips & Preview

Marlon Moraes vs Cory Sandhagen, Bantamweight, Main Event
Moraes to Win $2.25

Cory Sandhagen opens as the $1.65 favourite here, with Marlon Moraes the $2.25 outsider.

Sandhagen has had an impressive career to date, entering this bout with a 12-2 career record.

He is 5-1 since joining the UFC, winning his first 5 bouts before a defeat to Aljamain Sterling last time out.

One of the more versatile bantamweights around, he has 4 knockouts, 3 submissions, and 5 decision victories to his name.

He takes on Brazilian Marlon Moraes here, who enters this bout with a 23-6-1 career record.

Moraes really came into his own in the 2010’s, going 18-2 for the decade and 6-2 in the UFC.

An excellent finisher at this level, he has 10 knockouts and 6 submission victories to his name.

I think these two fighters are more even than the odds would suggest and don’t mind the look of Moraes as a $2.25 underdog.

He is the more experienced fighter and has fought some top level bantamweights, meaning he should be ready for whatever Sandhagen throws at him.

He can definitely hang in a striking match and probably has the edge if this fight goes to the ground.

All 3 methods of victory are in play, so I’d just stick with the $2.25 outright win price here.

Edson Barboza vs Makwan Amirkhani, Featherweight, Co-Main
Barboza by KO/Points

Edson Barboza opens as the convincing $1.40 favourite here, with Amirkhani the current $3 outsider.

Barboza has had a storied MMA career to date, entering this bout with a 20-9 career record.

His recent record has been nothing to write home about however, losing 5 of his last 6 fights.

Known primarily for his devastating leg kicks, he has 12 knockouts and 7 decision wins to his name.

Also known as Mr Finland, Amirkhani has enjoyed a strong career to date, going 16-4 straight up.

He is relatively new to the UFC, but has managed to go 6-2 so far, admittedly against relatively weak opposition.

Known primarily as a submission specialist, 11 of his 16 wins have come by way of submission.

This is a classic example of a battle between a striker and a jiu-jitsu specialist.

I’m inclined to go with the striker in Barboza here, mainly because Amirkhani will likely have a tough time getting him to the ground.

Barboza should be able to outpoint him early and often, using his strong takedown defence to keep this on the feet.

For a bit of extra value, I like the double chance market Barboza by KO/Points in this one.