ALCS – Game 6

Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros, 9:05 am
Rays $1.72

With no odds up for the LA game, I’ll stick with Tampa as my lone play for today.

They’ve let up slightly over the last two games, but they realize the urgency here and I’d expect them to play much better.

Given Houston’s below .500 record during the regular season, you can make the fairly strong case that they’re lucky to be here.

Tampa, on the other hand, were the best side in the American League throughout the regular season and dominated the first 3 games of this series.

I think the pitching matchup favours them here, with former Cy Young award winner Blake Snell taking the mound here.

He has performed much better than counterpart Frambler Valdez this season, which could prove crucial.

Ultimately, I think Tampa’s hitters really get after the Houston pitching staff in this one, with their own pitchers doing enough to hold on.

At $1.72, I think this is a +EV bet on the Rays closing out this series.