NBA Finals Tips

Series Tips: LA Lakers vs Miami Heat
Heat $4

2020 has been a tough year, but I’m sure most of us would get a modicum of joy from watching LeBron James fail again in the NBA Finals.

I’m going out on a limb here and predicting that’s what will happen, taking the Heat as heavy $4 outsiders.

I don’t think they’ve got enough credit for what they’ve done this post-season, beating 3 top-4 seeds and going 12-3 in the process.

The Lakers have had one of the easiest runs to the Finals in recent memory, one which will definitely make conspiracy theorists wonder.

Miami are definitely the best side the Lakers have played so far, largely due to the options they can throw on LeBron and AD.

Jimmy Buckets, Iguodala, and Crowder can all competently guard LeBron, while I’d expect Bam Adebayo to compete with Anthony Davis.

Erik Spoelstra is also the better coach in this series and his unique understanding of LeBron’s game should prove invaluable.

The Heat also possess the better backcourt, with Dragic, Herro, and Robinson definitely having an edge over their Lakers counterparts.

Combine all of these edges and the Heat can definitely cause the Lakers problems. If they win the 3-point battle, I think they take this series.

For a little bit of extra value, I like the Heat to win 4-2 at juicy $11 odds.

Series Tips: LA Lakers vs Miami Heat
Herro Finals MVP $34

Now for the Finals MVP market, where I’m going for a bit of a roughie in Tyler Herro at $34.

Given the defensive roles Butler and Adebayo are likely to play, I’m not sure they’ll be able to put up huge offensive numbers this series.

Herro has been a revelation of late and clearly refined his game over the 4-month hiatus.

I think he is one of Miami’s 5 best players and would expect him to close games alongside Dragic in the backcourt.

He definitely has some matchup advantages, coming up against the likes of Rondo, Caruso, and KCP for the Lakers.

The Conference Finals showed he’s capable of getting hot offensively, particularly when he poured in 37 points in game 4.

I can see this being somewhat similar to the 2014 Finals, where a deep team with competent players has a young guy step up and take the MVP.

At current odds, I think Herro is the best value on the market.