UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Rakic – Tips & Preview

Anthony Smith vs Aleks Rakic, Light Heavyweight, Main Event
Smith to Win $3.35

Rakic enters this clash as the commanding $1.33 favourite, with Smith out at $3.35.

The Austrian has enjoyed an impressive start to his MMA career, going 12-2 from his first 14.

He is 4-1 since joining the UFC, with a KO over Jimi Manuwa last year definitely his best early highlight.

Known for his elite striking and finishing ability, he has 9 knockout wins thus far.

Smith is a definite veteran of the sport, going 33-15 through 48 professional fights.

He impressed enough to earn a title fight last year, where he ultimately lost by decision to Jon Jones.

His recent form hasn’t been the best, but he’s been facing some of the top fighters in the division.

He’s an elite finisher at this level, securing 18 knockouts and 12 submissions thus far.

I think Rakic is the deserved favourite, but I like Smith at $3.35 as a pure value play.

Rakic hasn’t fought in a fight of this magnitude before, while Smith has been there and done it many times.

Smith has also been fighting some of the top competition in the division, while this is a real step up in quality for Rakic.

Smith also has a plethora of ways to win this fight, especially if he can take it to the ground.

Robbie Lawler vs Neil Magny, Welterweight, Co-Main
Magny by Decision

Magny is the convincing $1.45 favourite here, with Lawler the underdog at $2.75.

Often referred to as the ‘Haitian Sensation’ Magny enters this contest with an impressive 23-7 career record.

He’s been around the Welterweight circuit for a while, fighting some of the top competition on offer.

He has been in decent form of late, already recording two wins in 2020.

His wins have been heavily geared towards decision, with just 7 knockouts and 3 submissions thus far.

The former champion of the division, Lawler enters this contest at 28-14-1.

He earned the Welterweight title in 2014 and defended it 3 times before a 2016 loss to Tyron Woodley.

He hasn’t been the same fighter since then, losing 3 of his last 4 fights.

Known primarily for his elite power, Lawler has 20 knockouts to his name thus far.

This is a tough fight to call at current odds, but I’m leaning towards Magny here.

I think he’s technically the better fighter, has a speed edge around the octagon, and a better ground game.

Lawler’s best hope is an early KO, but his power isn’t what it once was and Magny also has a strong chin.

I’d lean Magny by Decision to squeeze out a bit of extra value.