I like the Yankees at home here, currently instilled as $1.67 home favourites over Tampa.
It hasn’t been the best season for New York, who’ve only managed a 17-13 record so far.
Recent form has been rather problematic, with only 3 wins in their last 10 games.
I think this has led to them becoming somewhat undervalued in the market and they’re a better team than what we’ve seen of late.
Compare that to a surging Tampa team who are 23-11 overall and 8-2 in their last 10.
I feel as though we’ve seen the best of what they’ve got to offer and that they’re becoming overvalued.
Gerrit Cole is still one of the best pitchers in the majors and I think his presence here will lead to a home win in a competitive game.
My second pick of the day is essentially a fade of the awful Pittsburgh Pirates.
They are a miserable 9-21 on the season and an even worse 4-12 in road games.
Their form has admittedly lifted slightly in the last 10, where they’ve gone an even 5-5.
That said, I believe they’ve now become a little overvalued and that they’re still one of the worst sides in the majors.
Milwaukee remain middle of the pack at 15-17, with an outside shot at the playoffs as we enter the second half of the season.
While it hasn’t been the case this year, they’ve historically had a very strong home field advantage that should start to pay dividends soon.
I think they’ve got a bevy of capable hitters and should be able to get after Pittsburgh starter Trevor Williams here.
If they can deliver a mistake-free pitching and defensive display, this should be a comfortable home win for the Brewers.