Saturday, August 8

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz, 3:10 am
Under 227 Points

I’m opting to make my first total play of the seeding games, taking under 227 in the Spurs vs Jazz game.

This is a rather tentative line given all of the injuries involved and is subject to change prior to tip-off.

Utah appear to be decimated heading into this clash, with four of their five starters for these seeding games unavailable.

They don’t exactly have the strongest bench and I’m not sure where they’re going to get their points from here.

While the Spurs aren’t great at protecting the rim, they do have some very solid perimeter defenders that should succeed here.

They are also firmly in line for a spot in the play-in tournament and should definitely come out all guns blazing.

On the flipside, Quin Snyder is still a very solid defensive coach who should have his side ready to play.

I think they’ll slow the pace down here with less available bodies, naturally leading to a lower-scoring game.

At anything above 225 points, I’m looking to take the under here.

Memphis Grizzlies vs OKC Thunder, 6:10 am
Grizzlies +4.5

Everyone and their grandma is on OKC here, but I’m opting for the contrarian play of Memphis +4.5

Given all the early action on OKC, this number could move to 5 and even beyond before tip-off.

For me, this is a simple value play. I believe one side is overrated by the current market and the other is underrated.

OKC had a big win over the Lakers last time out and I think that’s a huge reason for the substantial line here.

I don’t share the same belief in this OKC side, who are relatively thin and aren’t really playing for anything here.

Schroder, Muscala, and Ferguson are all out for this game, key absences which will only accentuate their lack of depth.

As horrendous as their start to the bubble has been, the Grizzlies are still in 8th and they control their playoff destiny.

The Jaren Jackson injury is a huge one, but I don’t expect it to prove as crucial in this matchup.

Ja Morant has played very well so far, and I don’t mind the matchups for Brooks or Valanciunas either.

I think the value of this Grizz side is either at or nearing it’s nadir, making this a decent time to jump on.