Fading the Red Sox has been excellent value of late, especially when they’ve been favourites.
The Sox are a very pedestrian 9-18 on the season, including 5-8 on the road and 3-7 in their last 10.
They’ve generally been overvalued in the market all season, mainly because they’ve got a decent hitting lineup.
Their problems are all in the pitching department, where they’ve been missing most of their best pitchers through injury/COVID.
This has put a ton of pressure on the bullpen to start and finish games, leading to some very tired arms in that clubhouse.
Baltimore have been much more competitive this season and I think they’ve got a decent chance here.
Neither Zack Godley or Wade LeBlanc has impressed so far, but Baltimore has a deeper bullpen if things go awry.
At $2.10, there are much worse bets on the board today.
These two sides seemingly play each other every other day and Oakland have often looked like tantalizing value.
They’ve managed an impressive 19-8 record so far, going 12-3 at home and 7-3 in their last 10.
This is in stark contrast to LA, who are just 8-19 overall, 3-10 on the road and 2-8 in their last 10.
Oakland have been tremendous this season and stand as good a chance as anyone to claim the world series in these strange circumstances.
LA teams often tend to get too much love in the betting markets, especially when they aren’t particularly good.
Dylan Bundy is a pitcher that punters tend to love backing, which generally leads to some overvalued markets.
Frankie Montas has done a stellar job for Oakland this season and I expect that to continue against a relatively thin batting lineup.
At $1.77, give me the significantly better side at home here.