Friday, July 31

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Indians, 9:05 am
Twins $1.92

This is probably one of the best matchups of the day, with both sides listed at $1.92 odds.

I think Minnesota is the slightly better of these two sides and will gladly take them at these odds, especially at home.

Jose Berrios was absolute money last season, and while he wasn’t great in his season debut last week, I’m confident he’ll enjoy another good year.

The Twins have been arguably the best side in the majors thus far, going 4-1 with a +16-run differential through 5 games.

They’ve been very good offensively, putting up particularly gaudy hitting numbers against Chicago.

Their batting lineup is deep and versatile, which should provide support for Berrios here.

I think their bullpen can also contain Cleveland here, with Duffey and Romo looking especially good so far.

Combine all of the above factors and they’re good value at essentially even money.

LA Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks, 11:40 am
Dodgers $1.65

I like the Dodgers at home here, currently $1.65 against the struggling Diamondbacks.

The Dodgers have had a solid start to the season, going 4-2 with a +17-run differential.

Ross Stripling is slated to get the start here, coming off a very solid opening outing vs the Giants.

The Dodgers bullpen has also been excellent thus far, keeping their opponent to 5 runs or less in every game.

On offence, the talent speaks for itself. Guys like Muncy, Betts, Bellinger, and Pederson are significantly better than their opponents here.

Robbie Ray isn’t an awful pitcher for Arizona, but he’s consistently over 4 with his ERA and had a poor start against San Diego last week.

I don’t have a ton of confidence in their bullpen to bail him out either if needed.

Overall, the Dodgers offence should have a field day here, with Stripling and Co. doing enough to secure the win.