2020 Aquanita Stakes Day Tips & Preview

The Listed Aquanita Stakes and Belmont Oaks are the two features races at Belmont on Saturday.

The rail has been set out 5m and we are currently expecting the track to rate somewhere around the Soft 5 range.

We’ve previewed the entire 10-race card and offer our best bets below.

Race 1: Westspeed Platinum Maiden (1600m), 1:23pm
No. 9 Just Under

Just Under missed the kick in her first-up run at Pinjarra but did well to make up a stack of ground along the rail in a tight finish for third.

The Brett Pope mare should improve on that effort and maps to get a similar run in transit here from the inside draw. The four-year-old has placed second-up previously and gets in light at the weights with apprentice Beaux Banovic-Edwards retaining the ride.

Spirited Lad looks a danger at decent odds. He’s been competitive in both runs off a break and looks a horse worth following now over further.

Race 2: Free Entry to Belmont Park Plate (1200m), 1:58pm
No. 1 Surveillance

Surveillance hasn’t been seen at the races since he finished second in the Magic Millions WA 2YO Classic back in February, a performance that has seen him installed returning first-up.

The winner of the 2YO Classic Gemma’s Son has since gone on to win the Listed Perth Stakes at Ascot, so the form lines read well for the Jim Taylor-trained gelding, especially from the low draw.

Miss Ivy League gave Reign Of Fire a run for her money last start in the Amelia Park Plate. She’s drawn wide but has plenty of late speed to make a race of this.

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Race 3: Old Mate’s Sports Bar and Eatery Plate (1200m), 2:37pm
No. 12 Holyoake

Tough race to line up with half the field on debut, but I thought there was plenty of merit in Holyoake’s first-up performance when fourth on debut at the mid-week’s over the 1000m.

The Brett Pope-trained filly was caught three-wide coming into the turn but showed plenty of courage in the concluding stages. She was only beaten narrowly for third and should appreciate getting out over further from an ideal gate.

Race 4: Amelia Park Handicap (1400m), 3:17pm
No. 8 Showmanship, No. 6 Not To Be Mist EW

Showmanship is odds-on to make it four in a row on Saturday coming off last fortnight’s comfortable two-length win in a Benchmark 71.

The New Zealand import has drawn the ideal gate with William Pike on board, and while there are a few that could make things interesting, it would be shocking not to see him win this comfortably in the end.

If you are looking to back against the favourite, Not To Be Mist is probably your best bet.

He gets back to his preferred distance where he’s won four times previously. He’s also won second-up in the past, so look for him late from the wide gate.

Race 5: Devil’s Lair Handicap (1400m), 3:53pm
No. 9 Sowar

Levitate should run as the favourite here, but he might go around under the odds considering he’s racing on the short backup following last weeks third behind Bright Diamond in a Benchmark 62.

The lack of speed might also force him forward, so I’m looking towards Sowar here to make things interesting in the late stages.

The son of Sepoy returned to the races in great order two weeks ago finishing runner-up at Northam over the 1300m. This is a much tougher task, but he’s placed twice before second-up and also gets 3.5kg off with Shaun McGruddy retaining the ride.

Race 6: Seacorp Handicap (1000m), 4:33pm
No. 3 Amelia's On Fire

Interesting race here between numbers 3, 4 and 6.

Mood Swings was enormous two weeks back winning at $11 odds over the 1200m, so the step back in trip looks ideal.

Boomtastic gets William Pike after the pair scored by over two lengths first-up back over the track and distance. The filly by sessions finished two lengths third behind Mood Swings second-up and should be better for it.

Amelia’s On Fire is coming off a two month let-up and tends to race much better when fresh.

She should get a lovely run in transit from barrier 4 and is a two-time winner over this journey. So long as the track stays firm, she’s the one I want to be on.

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Race 7: Kirin Megumi Handicap (1200m), 5:10pm
No. 5 Double Bubble

Indian Pacific is shooting for a hat-trick, but he’ll need to find something extra if he wishes to lead from barrier to box again.

Long Beach looks the main danger out wide. The son of I Am Invincible is coming off a two-month let-up and trailed beautifully a fortnight ago at Lark Hill. If William Pike can get over early, they should come close.

Double Bubble might also go around over the odds. The daughter of Unencumbered found the 1300m a little too sharp when 5 of 12 last start, but she was a winner over this distance first-up at Ascot back in May.

She’s also a three-time winner over the track and distance and might just sneak a place racing up on the speed.

Race 8: Aquanita Stakes (2000m), 5:45pm
No. 6 Fuhrer

Uncle Dick is unproven over the 2000m but commands plenty of respect with William Pike steering for the first time.

The three-year-old’s unbeaten record came to an end last start when he was narrowly beaten at Pinjarra over the mile, and while this is a step up in class, his latest effort suggests he should handle the distance just fine.

Fuhrer is much better than his latest run suggests when 9 of 12 over the mile. He was a winner two starts back, so that might have been the run he needed in between starts. He gets a much better draw this time around with Chris Farnham on board.

No Apology is on the short backup following last week’s win over the mile, while Eurasia has been thereabouts recently.

Race 9: Belmont Oaks (2000m), 6:20pm
No. 1 Kay Cee

Kay Cee is at short odds looking to make it four wins in a row.

The daughter of Playing God won the Listed Raconteur Stakes and Belmont Guineas by only narrow margins, but she’s so plenty of grit and determination in both assignments when called upon.

Steve Parnham knows this horse inside and out, and from barrier 4, she’s going to take a power of beating.

Race 10: Crown Perth Handicap (1600m), 6:55pm
No. 14 Serenity Bay

Serenity Bay won first-up quite comfortably over the 1400m three weeks ago and can only improve on that performance.

The mare by Rogano won’t know herself carrying 2.5kg less, and with William Pike on board, she should take beating from the soft draw.