The NRL resumed with a bang last week and boy was it good to have some live footy back on our screens!
With trends thrown out the window and no crowds in attendance, plenty of punters cashed in on some upside-down results, while others were left licking their wounds.
Here’s our complete breakdown of NRL Round 3 alongside some handy numbers from the bookies in the inaugural edition of The Offload!
Performance of the Week
For the first time in 15 years, the Raiders have opened the season 3-0.
The Storm had a litany of chances on Saturday night but still couldn’t come up with an answer (or many points for that matter) against Canberra’s lights out defence in the second half.
Cameron Smith, beard and all, had a shocker that he’s sure to atone for this week against the Bunnies.
The skipper spent most of his night sending line dropouts from his own in-goal, while Suliasi Vunivalu, who was the favourite in our Anytime Try Scorer market, also spent all 80-minutes fielding Canberra’s aerial bombardment.
Ricky Stuart’s side really looks the team to beat now as they unveiled a new fast-pace brand of football that completely caught Melbourne off guard.
They’ve received a nice little tidy up in the NRL Grand Final Winner market too, firming from $6.00 into joint $5.00 favouritism with the Roosters.
With Tom Trbojevic.
Turbo appeared in absolute peak form on Sunday crossing the line untouched in the third minute of play to open the scoring against the Bulldogs.
Moses Suli deserves some of the credit here for his lovely setup on the wing, while punters who jumped on the $10.00 odds for Turbo as First Try Scorer were left with no complaints.
It’s safe to say most bookies suffered a little from this result, and after Tommy went on to add another in the 25th minute, don’t be expecting to see double-digit odds about him anytime soon.
From the Woodwork
Cowboys hooker Reece Robson was enormous off the bench during North Queensland’s 36-6 demolition over the Titans on Friday night where he not only scored his first NRL try, but also his second.
The 22-year-old was having only his 12th appearance at club level and couldn’t have been any braver bulldozing his way over the line on both occasions.
He’s a handy name to Blackbook and should continue to fly under the radar in Anytime Try Scorer markets at a decent price.
- If you like numbers and trends, you’ll love this: the Raiders have now covered the line in each of their nine matches as the away underdog. Canberra drifted from +3.5 out to +5.5 ahead of kickoff against the Storm and plenty of punters cashed in!
- The Warriors seem to like playing St George, don’t they? New Zealand has now covered in each of their last four games against the Dragons following what was easily the biggest surprise upset of the round last week.
- Manly seems to love the Central Coast. They’ve now won eight from their last nine at their home away from home. Definitely something to keep in mind with the Broncos coming to town in a fortnight.
You could almost include Anthony Seibold’s entire lineup here, but Katoni Staggs was far away and away the lowlight for those that fancy an Anytime Try Scorer bet.
The Broncos centre was a popular pick to score but failed to make much of an impact at all during the 34-6 loss to the Eels. Things aren’t about to get any easier this week with the Roosters in town, either.
Don’t Forget About
- Jordan Rapana: the Raiders winger wasted no time asserting himself in his return, opening the scoring with a try in the third minute of play (paying $12). He nearly added another in the second half and ran a total of 166 metres. After playing zero games over in Japan, boy he looks fit.
- Josh Dugan: there have been very few positives to take away from the Shire over the last fortnight, but Josh Dugan certainly didn’t go unnoticed. He was one of only three players to score a double over the weekend and looks to be the only Sharks player that punters can feel somewhat confident in.
- Bradman Best: speaking of doubles, how about Bradman Best? The Newcastle centre now has three tries in four appearances for the club and looks to be a real force moving forward. At just 19-years-old, the sky is the limit for the youngster!
It’s Getting Hot in Here
The Dragons know how to kill a multi or two, don’t they?
Coach Paul McGregor has been on the hot seat for the last 12 months, but things are really starting to get toasty now with St George staring down the barrel of an 0-3 start to the season after laying a goose egg against the Warriors on Saturday.
Big things were expected from the Red V last week with a handful of stars like Cameron McInnes and the Sims brothers returning to the side.
Somehow, though, the Dragons outdid themselves with another lacklustre performance that is starting to suggest things are a little awry in the lockerroom.
- Broncos v Eels – Under 39.5: anyone that took the early Under on the Broncos and Eels on Friday night was probably left feeling a little sorry for themselves as the game tallied 40-points all up.
- Cowboys v Titans – Over 43.5: likewise, anyone on the Over in the Cowboys/Titans game was probably left feeling crook. The game tallied only 42-points in the end, but at least Kyle Feldt kept it close with his try in the 78th minute, right?
- Roosters v Rabbitohs – Under 39.5: and again, another close call. The Roosters and Rabbitohs tallied 40-points all up on Friday night, so thoughts and prayers if you were on the Under.
Don’t Tell the Misso (Bad Bets)
- $50k St George Dragons (-6.5) @ $1.90
No real words here other than, why?
- $30k St George Dragons 9+ @ Half Time @ $3.20
- $18k Cronulla Sharks to Win (Live Betting)
This might be the worst beat of the week. The Sharks/Tigers game was a weird one as far as momentum goes.
Wests burst clear from the gates with two tries in the opening 10-minutes, but the Sharks cam roaring back with a Josh Dugan double not long after.
Cronulla also took the lead into the sheds 16-10, so you can probably see why this punter fancied his chances.
- $32k Melbourne Storm @ $1.53
The Storm have opened the season 3-0 in four of their last five seasons, so you can kind of see why this punter was confident in Melbourne at home.
Unfortunately, he failed to account for the Raiders and their previous win over the Storm during last year’s Qualifying Final, and of course, the Green Machine’s brick-wall defence.
And finally, some positive news to end the week.
Here’s to the punters that landed these outstanding multis!
- $2,000 @ $90: Daniel Tupou First Try Scorer, Ben Hampton First Try Scorer
- $10,000 @ $56: Cowboys and Roosters to Win Every Half
- $50,000 @ $1.80: Cowboys and Roosters to Win
- $55,000 @ $4.29: Manly (-8.5), Manly 9+ (1st Half), Manly to Win Both Halves