Aside from Saturday’s all-time thriller between the Eels and Raiders, Round 7 was all about blowouts.
The Roosters remain steady $3.25 favourites in our NRL Premiership market, while the Panthers have also seen some love firming from $13.00 into $8.00.
With three top-eight games on the cards this week, there’s no better time to recap all the winners, losers and numbers from Round 7 in this week’s edition of The Offload.
Performance of the Week
Paul Green asked for more from his side following last weeks crushing defeat at the hands of the Tigers and boy did the Cowboys deliver.
No half-time spray was needed on Saturday as North Queensland piled on four unanswered tries against the Knights on the way to a much-needed 32-20 victory.
The Cowboys actually drifted from $3.10 out to $3.25 right before kickoff, but they did see some love with the line firming from +8.5 into +7.5.
With their season now back on track, the Cowboys find themselves in the hunt for a spot in the top eight ahead of Friday’s tricky game against the Eels.
Green’s men have actually won their last two against Parramatta, so if you fancy the Cowboys to make it back-to-back wins, don’t be afraid to get involved.
Don’t Argue…
With Brett Morris.
The Roosters winger was enormous on Friday night scoring the 10th hat-trick of his career as the $4.00 favourite.
With the game hanging in the balance at half-time, the Roosters were again searching for someone to step forward and take charge. The 250-gamer did just that, scoring his 17th try in just his 22nd appearance with the club.
Morris was $1.75 to score Anytime against the Dragons and he should be a similar quote again this week against the Storm.
Punters Pals
- No real shocker here, but the favourite has now covered the line in nine of the last 11 games between the Storm and Warriors. Probably worth noting Melbourne have now won nine of those.
- Nice to see Josh Addo-Carr back on the scoresheet after missing last week’s loss against the Panthers. Also, nice to see him keeping the trend alive: six tries in his last seven Friday night games.
- Don’t blame us if the price gets shorter and shorter, but the Roosters have now won each of their last five games by 13+ points.
- Earmark Hymel Hunt for the next time he plays outside of New South Wales. The Newcastle centre has now scored in each of his last five interstate games after finding the line in Saturday’s loss against the Cowboys (paying $1.95).
- Anthony Don, take a bow. TheTitans winger has now scored in five straight games against the Broncos at Suncorp. He went on to add another on a brilliant intercept of Broncos fullback Tesi Niu on the stroke of half-time, saluting nice and early for those that backed him to score a double @ $6.00.
- Next time you do up a multi, chuck Elliott Whitehead in for a try. The Englishman has now scored in four of his last six matches after finding the line against the Eels at a very handy $4.00 quote.
- Sticking with the same game, Michael Jennings also came through for punters at $2.40. If you’re keeping track, he’s now scored in five of his last six home games against Canberra.
- Here’s a hot tip: avoid the Bulldogs this Sunday against the Rabbitohs. They’ve now lost each of their last six night games.
- And here’s an even better tip: back our man Joey Leilua next time he takes on the Bulldogs. He’s now scored a try in four of his last five games against Canterbury after paying $2.50 in Sunday’s blowout victory.
- Sione Katoa somehow went around @ $5.25 to score a double against Manly on Sunday, and he made it look all too easy scoring in both halves of Cronulla’s 40-22 win. The 25-year-old seemingly knows no bounds.
- Last but not least, Mr Consistency himself, Kyle Feldt. As if his last three weeks haven’t been good enough, the Cowboys winger has now scored a try in 11 of his last 12 home appearances after saluting at very valuable $2.10 odds on Saturday.
Don’t Forget About
Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad.
The Raiders appeared dead and buried with five minutes remaining against the Eels on Saturday, right before the Canberra fullback shifted into gear with a pair of tries to send the game to golden point.
Canberra went on to lose on a Clinton Gutherson field goal, but it was a win for punters who backed Nicoll-Klokstad to score a double @ juicy $11.00 odds.
Mr Irrelevant
Bit of a quiet game from Cody Walker against Penrith.
If you like trends, you’d know the Rabbitohs five-eighth had scored a try in four of his last five Thursday night games coming in, but he never really looked likely against the Panthers.
To be fair, the bookies saw it coming by listing Walker @ $3.75 to score Anytime, but the fact he racked up only 79m was a bit of a killer – especially if you own him in SuperCoach.
It’s Getting Hot in Here
For Anthony Seibold, duh.
The Broncos were actually booed off the ground at half-time on Saturday for the first time in their 30-year history – a dark day for a team that was once the pride and joy of the NRL.
Brisbane’s complete lack of structure and game plan is an obvious reflection of Seibold’s questionable coaching methods.
With the locker room seemingly lost, the Broncos have now firmed from $13 into $6.00 in our ‘Most Losses’ market, while they’ve also moved from $51 out to $101 to win the Grand Final.
Bad Beats
- Cowboys 13+ @ $7.25: you would have been counting your chips nice and early if you backed the Cowboys 13+ against the Knights on Saturday. Unfortunately, Newcastle came back in the second half with three unanswered tries to lose by only 12-points. Thoughts and prayers if this was you.
- Roosters (-14.5): tough watch if you took the early line about the Chooks on Friday. Thanks to St George’s spirited first half, the reigning premiers fell half a point shy of covering.
- Broncos/Titans Over 42.5 Total Points: you’d be pretty crook if you took the Over on Saturday between the Broncos and Titans. The Total drifted out to 42.5 before kickoff, but the two sides managed only 42 points between them!
- Anyone that backed the Raiders: Clinton Gutherson owes you a beer.
Don’t Tell the Misso
- $50k St George Dragons @ $2.00 (Live Market)
Talk about living dangerously.
Mad Multi’s
We’re a bit light on in the multi department this week, but one punter did manage to land this huge Anytime Try Scorer bet on Sunday.
- $75 @ $100: Sione Katoa Anytime Try Scorer, Jesse Ramien Anytime Try Scorer, David Nofoaluma Anytime Try Scorer, Reimis Smith Anytime Try Scorer, Joseph Leilua Anytime Try Scorer
And finally, we here at Neds also gave punters a leg-up with this handy little $7.05 pop between the Broncos and Titans!