The Hornets find themselves as 5-point underdogs away at Atlanta, a game they have a good shot of covering. Atlanta has an incredibly long injury list, many of whom I’d expect to miss this clash.
I count injuries to 10 Atlanta players in the most recent injury report, most notably to Trae Young, Clint Capela, and Kevin Huerter. Charlotte enter this clash essentially injury free, with only Malik Monk missing from their regular rotation.
These teams are relatively even to begin with, let alone with Atlanta dealing with this myriad of injuries. Their home record is nothing special, going just 13-19 on the season and 4-6 in their last 10.
The Hornets have been cashing tickets regularly of late, going 8-2 ATS in their last 10. I think they’re still undervalued in the market and have a great chance of covering this +5 line.
I had success fading Milwaukee yesterday and I plan to do the same thing here today. Denver are currently $1.71 to win this game, which is a good enough price to justify.
The Bucks will be without star Giannis Antetokounmpo here, who they really missed yesterday. I expect them to be relatively fatigued here, playing their 3rd and final game of a cross-country road trip.
Denver have been in pretty poor form of late, but they still maintain an excellent 24-8 home record. Without Giannis, I think they’ve got a huge advantage in the frontcourt, which I’d expect Jokic to exploit.
Considering their injuries and travel fatigue, this would be a very surprising win if Milwaukee could pull it off. I think the money continues to pour in on Denver until tip-off, so get in quick.