The Heat are laying 7.5 points at home to Orlando here, a game I expect them to win and cover. They’ve been one of the best home teams in the NBA this season, securing a 26-4 record thus far. They’ve done especially well against the number, going 20-9-1 ATS.
Orlando, on the other hand, are a relatively poor road side. They’ve gone just 11-19 on the season and won only 4 of their last 10 overall.
On the injury front, Aaron Gordon missed for Orlando last time out and is questionable to go here. His absence would he huge and shift the balance further in Miami’s favour.
The Heat are battling for seeding right now and can’t risk losing a game like this to drop out of the top 4. I expect a motivated display that sees their dominant home record continue, ultimately ending in a win.
Washington are getting 8 points on the road here in Portland, and I think they’re decent value to cover here. Portland are flying across the country after an East-Coast road trip, which should impact their energy here.
The Wizards are admittedly playing on a back-to-back, but they’ve got a much shorter distance to travel here. They’ve also been playing a fairly deep rotation, with nothing serious on the injury report.
Dame Lillard is slated to return for Portland here, his first game back after an extended absence. I can see him taking some time to get back into rhythm, which could result in a sluggish start for the Blazers.
Having only gone 27-35 so far, Portland aren’t exactly the type of side that should be laying 8 points. I can see this one being fairly close and will take the 8 points of insurance with Washington.