Thursday, March 12

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz, 12 pm
Thunder ML

While no line is currently up for this game, I like the spot for OKC here. Utah have really fallen off of late, covering only twice in their last 10 games.

OKC have been solid both home and away this season, compiling a 20-13 record in front of their home fans. Their recent form has been particularly inspiring, winning 8 of their last 10 games straight up.

Shai Gilgeous Alexander is expected to play here, meaning they’ll have no key injuries to report. They’ve also had a full 2 days of rest in the leadup to this clash, giving them a much-needed rest advantage.

I’d anticipate this line to come out around even, at which point the Thunder are very good value. They’ll be playing very hard for seeding here and I think they’ve got a great shot of taking this one outright.

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans, 2:30 pm
Pelicans ML

This is another intriguing battle between two sides with identical records thus far. Although the Kings have been slightly better of late, New Orleans’ greater top-end talent makes me think they win this one.

The Kings just haven’t had a good home court advantage this season, going 14-17 straight up and 12-17-2 ATS. New Orleans have a better road record than they do at home, which has only improved since the return of Zion.

JJ Redick remains the only key injury for the Pelicans, while Sacramento are dealing with a myriad of frontcourt injuries to Holmes, Bagley, and Parker. This should allow Zion to feast and he could easily prove to be the difference here.

I also like the defensive matchup for New Orleans, with Jrue Holiday more than capable of containing De’Aaron Fox. In another game that should have a relatively even line, I’ll take New Orleans for the straight up win.