Sunday, March 8

Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz, 11 am
Pistons +8.5

Absolutely nobody wants to back Detroit right now, but I think they’re undervalued for this very reason. They’re getting 8.5 points at home to Utah, a game they should be able to keep competitive.

Only 15% of punters like Detroit early on, indicative of how much of a contrarian pick this is. That said, the line appears to be moving in their favour, suggesting the sharps like the underdogs here.

Despite only winning 1 in their last 10, the Pistons have an impressive 6 covers in that time span. Utah haven’t been great of late either, only covering 3 in 10 themselves.

This is the fourth and final game of their East-Coast trip, after an emotional win in Boston yesterday. Detroit on a back-to-back represents a prime letdown game, one which they won’t really get up for. It’s unlikely that they win, but Detroit can keep this one within 8.5.

Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers, 12:30 pm
Warriors +2.5

I’m working under the assumption that Ben Simmons will be out injured for this one. With Steph and likely Draymond back in the fold, I think there’s some value on Golden State getting 2.5 points.

They’ve tended to put in much better efforts in primetime home games this season, covering again against Toronto last time out. Steph looked good in his return from injury and lightened the load on his teammates.

Philly have been an atrocious road side all season, going just 10-23 straight up and 9-22-2 ATS. With no Embiid, Simmons, and Richardson, they take a real hit on both ends of the floor.

I can also see fatigue being somewhat of an issue for Philly, with this being their 4th and final game of a gruelling West-Coast trip. This is a coin-flip type of game, but I’ll take the team with the best player and homecourt getting 2.5 points.