Friday, February 21

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat, 11:30 am
Hawks +5.5

I like the Hawks here, getting 5.5 points at home. Both teams are nearly fully healthy after the break, which benefits a thinner team like Atlanta.

They haven’t been great at home this season, compiling a 9-17 straight up record. That said, going 15-10-1 ATS suggests that they’re doing a good job outperforming the market.

Likewise, Miami’s 13-16 road record is nothing to write home about. They are just 12-16-1 ATS on the road, winning only 4 of their last 10 overall.

Atlanta have a few matchup edges here, especially with Trae Young on offense. Clint Capela is also a useful addition on the interior and should help this one close. Especially through the key number of 5, I’ll take Atlanta plus the points here.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets, 12 pm
Sixers -9

The Sixers are currently 9-point favourites and I’m expecting a relatively comfortable win here. They’ve proven themselves to be one of the best home teams in the NBA, going an outstanding 25-2 thus far. This is backed up by a strong 15-10-2 ATS record.

Brooklyn have been pretty poor on the road all season, going just 9-16 straight up and 10-15 ATS. They’ll be without Kyrie Irving here, which should really hurt against a strong defence like Philly.

They were in some good form before the All-Star break, but I think a long layoff got rid of those benefits. Philly enter this clash fully healthy and should look to dominate on the interior.

Given the factors listed above, I only see this line increasing before tip-off. If you also like the Sixers, I suggest getting in soon at the -9 number.