Saturday, January 25

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets (Neutral), 7 am
Hornets +13.5

The Hornets are getting 13.5 points and I think there’s decent value on them here. This game is played on a neutral court in Paris, which tends to be a great equalizer in these matchups.

While the Bucks have been on a good run straight up, they’ve only covered in 4 of their last 10 games. Their rotation will be slightly weaker for this one, with Robin Lopez and Frank Mason ruled out and Wes Matthews questionable.

Charlotte enter this clash fully healthy, with no injuries to report. I can’t see fatigue being an issue here either as this game is sandwiched between 6 rest days.

They got destroyed by Milwaukee by over 40 points in their last matchup, so I sense a bit of a revenge factor here. They also suffered a dreadful 20+ point defeat to Orlando last time out, so I’d expect a faster start.

The reverse line movement has also gone in Charlotte’s favour, with the line moving from 14 to 13.5 points despite almost all the money coming in on Milwaukee. I don’t expect an upset here, but they should be able to keep this within 14 points.

Detroit Pistons vs Memphis Grizzlies, 11 am
Grizzlies +2

Memphis are one of the hotter teams in the NBA right now and I’m a bit surprised they’re catching 2 points here. They’ve gone 7-3 straight up in their last 10 games, covering in 6 of these.

Detroit have been a pretty pedestrian home side this season, going just 9-13 thus far. They’re also dealing with a myriad of injuries, most notably to Blake Griffin, and should be far from full health here.

Memphis, in contrast, enter this clash almost injury free. Ja Morant has had a spectacular rookie season, while Jaren Jackson has also really picked it up of late.

They suffered a 24-point beatdown against Boston last time out and I’d expect them to start fast here as a result. They’re the better team here with a great shot at securing an outright upset.