Monday, January 28

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers, 11 am
Cavaliers +6.5

This is more of a bet against Detroit than it is on Cleveland. The line here moved quickly from +7 to +6.5, suggesting the sharps are in agreement with me.

Detroit have been pedestrian at best of late, winning 4 of their last 10 straight up and covering just 3 times. They’re just 9-15 at home this season, inferring that they shouldn’t get much for home court advantage.

They’re also the more injured of these two sides, battling injuries to several key rotation players. Blake Griffin is already done for the year, while Jackson, Snell, and Brown are all questionable for this one.

This has all the makings of a sloppy game that ends up being relatively close late on. While I don’t expect them to win, it’s hard to ignore 6.5 insurance points with Cleveland here.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings, 12 pm
Wolves -3

With how atrocious Minnesota have been of late, no one is looking to back them here. Yet, that is the primary reason I think they’re decent value in this one.

The Kings are in an awful travel spot, playing the final game of a gruelling 5-game road trip. They managed their first win of the trip last time out, which could lead to somewhat of a letdown here.

Minnesota also appear to be nearing full health, with Jake Layman the only player expected to miss here. Marvin Bagley is questionable here for Sacramento, a side that has already weakened their roster with the Ariza trade.

The Wolves have clearly the best player on the court here, with KAT dropping a cool 37 last time out. I think he puts the team on his back en route to a win here, covering the relatively small 3-point spread.