Aus Open – Day 9

Novak Djokovic vs Milos Raonic
Novak -1.5 Sets

Novak has been on fire all tournament and is yet to drop a set thus far. Especially with a rest advantage before the Final, I think he’s the overwhelming favourite to claim this tournament.

Raonic has been hugely impressive himself, winning all 4 contests in straight sets, including a win over #6 seed Tsitsipas. That said, his strengths just don’t match up as well against a player like Novak.

His serve is undoubtedly his best quality, but Novak is still comfortably the best returner on tour. He’s been opportunistic on break point so far, but I don’t see him getting many opportunities on the Djokovic serve.

These two have played 9 times before and Novak has unsurprisingly won all 9 contests. Raonic’s serve will keep him competitive here, but I’d be shocked if he claimed anything more than a set.

Ash Barty vs Petra Kvitova
Barty to Win $1.70

Barty has had a strong tournament so far and has emerged as the early favourite to claim the title. She has a tough opponent in Kvitova here but is well equipped to win this match outright.

Her form has been consistently strong over the last week, dropping just 2 sets all tournament. Dropping the second set 6-1 to Riske was a bit of an eye opener, but she recovered nicely in the 3rd set.

Kvitova has also had a strong start to the tournament, although her trademark serve appears to have faded of late. She was broken by Sakkari 4 times last time out, a feat that I can see Barty matching in this one.

I’d expect the Barty serve to hold true here, while a strong return game puts pressure on Petra’s serve. Currently at odds of $1.70, you’d have to back the tournament favourite with the home crowd behind her.