Sunday, December 29

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies, 9 am
Nuggets -9

The 21-9 Nuggets host the 12-20 Grizzlies here, currently laying 9 points. Denver were very flat against New Orleans on Christmas and I expect a much better effort here.

They’re still one of the better home sides in the NBA, compiling a 13-4 record thus far. Memphis are nothing special on the road, going just 6-8 straight up and 7-7 ATS.

I also like the matchups for Denver here, particularly on the interior. I’d expect Jokic to have a field day against Valanciunas, while Paul Millsap is also expected to go here.

Memphis have really struggled to guard on the perimeter, which doesn’t bode well against a guy like Jamal Murray. I can see him controlling this game from the outset, leading to a dominant offensive display.

I think the Christmas day performance was a bit of an aberration for Denver, one which I expect them to right at the first opportunity. The line has come in from 10 to 9 and I see good value in pulling the trigger here.

Houston Rockets vs Brooklyn Nets, 12 pm
Rockets -9

The 21-10 Rockets host the 16-10 Nets here, currently laying 9 points. As with Denver, Houston suffered an embarrassing defeat on Christmas Day, one which I’d expect them to avenge here.

They’re one of the better home sides in the NBA, going 10-4 thus far. Brooklyn aren’t any great shakes on the road either, sporting a below .500 record at 7-8.

The Nets remain without their starting backcourt, with both Irving and LeVert already ruled out for this one. Spencer Dinwiddie has carried the load admirably, but he tends to struggle against top sides like Houston.

On defence, I’m not sure this Brooklyn side is well equipped to stop the duo of Harden and Westbrook. They’ve struggled against dynamic playmaking guards all season and these are two of the most difficult they’ll face.

They looked really out of sorts last time out, putting up just 82 points against the lowly Nets. They’ll come up against a much tougher test in Houston, one which I’m not sure they’re ready for.

Houston losing on Christmas was a major storyline, but I view this as a blip in an otherwise solid season. Expect them to put the clamps on Brooklyn here, with strong days from Russ and Harden leading to the win and cover.