Sunday, December 16

Atlanta Hawks vs LA Lakers, 10 am
Lakers -11.5

The 23-3 Lakers travel to the 6-20 Hawks laying 11.5 points as a road favourite. While this is quite a substantial line, I still think this is a game the dominant Lakers should win and cover.

The main reason for this is the huge matchup advantage LA has on the interior. Atlanta has probably the worst frontcourt in the NBA and they’ve got to go against LeBron and AD.

They’ve gotten nothing from their bigs all year long, meaning AD should have a field day and continue his stellar season. Similarly, their youngsters on the wing just don’t have the necessary size to hang with LeBron. Things all look good from an injury standpoint and I can’t see elbow soreness keeping LeBron out of this one.

Home court isn’t much of a boon for Atlanta either, given that they’re only 3-9 at home this season. This veteran Lakers outfit are 13-1 on the road thus far and I think this line is giving Atlanta too much for home court.

Ultimately, this is a game the Lakers should comfortably win and cover if they play anywhere near their level. I love the matchups for them here and I’m expecting a huge win.

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings, 12:30 pm
Warriors +3.5

The 11-14 Kings travel to the 5-22 Warriors laying 3.5 points. I’m actually inclined to go with Golden State here, purely as a line value play.

In their last home game, Golden State were 5.5-point favourites over a dismal Knicks side. Likewise, the Kings opened as 8-point favourites against the same Knicks outfit in their last game.

With this in mind, you’d expect this line to be roughly even. Instead, we’re getting a full 3.5 points with Golden State, which I think is too many.

Punters are incredibly down on this side after losses to Memphis and New York, which could mean it’s the perfect time to jump back on. I expect a more motivated performance here, especially considering those two results.

Golden State are also much healthier than they’ve been all season, now having 13 healthy bodies on game day. Draymond Green and Eric Paschall are both likely to play here, bolstering their frontcourt depth.

While Sacramento have fought valiantly of late, they’re facing an uphill battle to make the playoffs this season. De’Aaron Fox remains out with an ankle injury, while backup Cory Joseph isn’t 100% with a back injury.

As such, I don’t think they’ve got enough talent offensively to run away with the game here. Especially through the key number of 3, I’ll take the undervalued Warriors in what is legitimately a coin flip game.