Monday, December 30

Toronto Raptors vs OKC Thunder, 10 am
Raptors -2.5

The 22-10 Raptors host the 16-15 Thunder here, currently laying 2.5 points. Despite being on a back-to-back, I think Toronto have more than enough quality for the win and cover.

They’ve proven to be one of the best home teams in the NBA, going 13-4 straight up and 11-6 ATS. They do have a few key injuries heading into this one, although I think their depth and elite coaching can make up for this.

OKC has been on a decent 7-3 run of late, but I believe they’re overvalued in the market as a result. They’re just 5-9 on the road this season and have tended to struggle outside of Oklahoma. They’ve also been battling the injury bug of late, with both Gallinari and Schroder ruled out of this one.

Ultimately, I expect the elite guard play from Lowry and VanVleet to guide Toronto to another home victory. Laying just 2.5 points, I also think they’re very solid value to cover the spread.

LA Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks, 1:30 pm
Lakers -3

The 24-7 Lakers host the 21-10 Mavericks here, currently laying 3 points. This line appears awfully low to me and there’s a definite chance that it rises before tip-off.

Both sides are playing a back-to-back, but I can’t see any of the major players sitting out here, especially for LA. They’ve been a strong 10-4 at home this season and I like their matchup against this upstart Dallas side.

The Mavericks are incredibly reliant on Luka and can really struggle to get going if he isn’t 100%. Unfortunately, he comes up against a very tough wing matchup here against both LeBron and Danny Green.

I think they can limit him on the offensive end, making it much more difficult for Dallas to score. Anthony Davis also has a favourable matchup against Porzingis, one which I’d expect him to exploit repeatedly.

LA have more top-end talent of these two sides and also possess the depth needed to win on a back-to-back. 3 points is fairly light with LA being comfortably the better side and I’d recommend this line up to 4.5.