Friday, December 27

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards, 11 am
Wizards +6.5

The 11-20 Pistons host the 9-20 Wizards in this one, currently laying 6.5 points. These two sides are a lot closer than that line would suggest and I’ll gladly take Washington plus the points.

Detroit have been a nightmare for punters to bet on all season, only covering 11 out of 30 games. They’re below .500 at home, while Washington has a solid 10-7 road record against the number.

The Pistons are also dealing with a few key injuries here, particularly in their backcourt. Luke Kennard has already been ruled out, while both Derrick Rose and Bruce Brown are questionable with lower leg injuries.

Even Blake Griffin was listed on the injury report for this one, currently listed as questionable with an illness. At the very least, this is a freeroll for Wizards backers that likely hasn’t been factored into the line.

The Bryant and Bertans injuries are a negative for Washington, although neither of those players would fit this matchup well. I expect the Wiz to go for an up tempo approach here and they can put up points on this inconsistent Detroit defence.

This has the makings of a pretty even game that should be close late. Getting 6.5 points is too good to pass up and likely opens up hedging opportunities late on.

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves, 2 pm
Kings -4.5

The 12-18 Kings host the 10-20 Wolves in this one, currently laying 4.5 points. Minnesota has looked absolutely dreadful of late and I’m keen to fade them again here.

First and foremost, Karl Anthony Towns is still on the injury report with a knee injury. He’s missed the last fortnight and I can’t see him playing here.

Even if he did come back, I’d imagine he’d be both limited and on a minutes restriction. To compound their injury woes, both Jake Layman and Shabazz Napier are expected to miss this one.

After their relatively poor start to the campaign, Sacramento have also looked much better of late. They now have a positive ATS record on the season and are a respectable .500 at home.

Minnesota have lost each of their last 11 games and haven’t looked particularly competitive while doing so. This is the final game of their 4-game Christmas road trip and I can see a bit of a letdown here as they look forward to going home.

The Kings enter this one almost fully healthy after the return of De’Aaron Fox. Their recent record hasn’t been great, but a lot of this was due to a relatively tough 5-game road trip. Especially if KAT doesn’t play, I think they’re great value at this modest 4.5 number.