King Of Hastings will contest the Abell Stakes. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos

Flemington Twilight Races Tips – Saturday December 14

There’s no black type racing at Flemington on Saturday but as a nice point of difference, the card will get underway at 3pm AEDT and conclude later in the evening.

I’ve cast my eyes across all nine contests on the Flemington Twilight Races card and you can find a tip for each below.

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#LoveTheHorse (1100m) - 3pm AEDT
No. 2 Conceited

This a pretty crook way to start the day from a betting perspective but at this time of year, fields rich with two-year-old debutants are not a rarity.

While my interest largely lies with the autumn two-year-old races, I’ll be happy to have something small on the James Cummings-trained Conceited each-way. A son of Brazen Beau, Conceited has had the benefit of a nice trial at Randwick and if there’s any stable that knows their way around a two-year-old at the moment, it’s Godolphin.

Off The Track Program Sprint (1100m) - 3:40pm AEDT
No. 3 Bam's On Fire

Simply put, Bam’s On Fire doesn’t know how to run a bad race and I think she’ll just be too good second-up on Saturday.

The Universal Ruler mare returned three wins from four starts, placing in Listed company on the other occasion and there was a lot to like about the way she hit the line to finish third in BM70 company when resuming. There’s only nine horses in this field, she should be able to get a nice bit of cover from the inside and finish over the top.

Christmas Giving Tree Plate (1720m) - 4:20pm AEDT
No. 3 Living The Dream

Similar to my opinion of Bam’s On Fire in the second, I think that Living The Dream is a justified favourite in betting for this race and looks beautifully placed to make it two in a row.

The Mitch Freedman-trained entire hasn’t missed a place in four starts this time, winning twice including a nice performance in a similar race at The Valley last time out. Ben Melham has options from the rails draw and with appropriate luck, it’s tough imagining any of these horses getting the better of him (if his form holds up).

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December Twilight Handicap (1400m) - 5pm AEDT
No. 4 Rolls

Lindsay Smith has really hit the ground running since opening a Victorian stable and Rolls looks a nice each-way chance of returning the stable another winner on Saturday.

The three-year-old son of Anacheeva has won two and placed in as many through four starts this time in; placing at The Valley two back and winning at the ‘Bool last time out, albeit in weaker company. He looks to be at peak condition for this race and is drawn a peach with Dean Yendall in the saddle.

Living Legends Trophy (1100m) - 5:40pm AEDT
No. 5 Superhard

I thought that Superhard was good off a spell when he resumed at Ballarat three weeks ago and the $6 on offer for him to win this race (at publish) is over the odds.

The former Weir, now John Sadler runner has returned plenty of pleasing efforts and results throughout his racing career and finished within three lengths of the rock-hard fit William Thomas first-up. This looks like one of the more open races on the Flemington card and he is more than up to it.

Flemington Family Lawn Handicap (1800m) - 6:15pm AEDT
No. 6 Sure Knee

It could be because she opened my account on Cup Day this year, but I am a big fan of Sure Knee and I think she’ll be returning to winning form back at HQ on Saturday.

The Chris Waller-trained mare tuned up with a couple of fair efforts when resuming but beat an excellent field on Cup Day and was luckless at The Valley last time out. She could very well enjoy the run of the race from barrier 4 and will be partnered by leading hoop Craig Williams.

Summer On The Roof Garden Handicap (2530m) - 6:50pm AEDT
No. 2 Defibrillate

This is a pretty tough race to analyse from a betting perspective. There’s formlines all over the shop, several horses attempting the step up from weekday company and a few unknown quantities. Regardless, Defibrillate has barely put a hoof wrong all prep and looks up to winning again.

The Patrick Payne-trained gelding won four in a row, two in New Zealand and two when arriving in Australia before placing second behind quality stayer Creedence at Ballarat last time out. There doesn’t look to be a horse of his calibre in this field and Defibrillate can return to the winner’s stall.

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Say Hello To Summer Racing Trophy (1200m) - 7:25pm AEDT
No. 6 King Of Hastings

King Of Hastings returned the worst performance of his career to date at Ballarat a fortnight ago, but he is clearly a classy type and can atone in the penultimate at HQ on Saturday.

The Anthony Freedman-trained gelding won two and finished second three times in his five starts prior to a fortnight ago and ran a close second to subsequent Caulfield Guineas champion Super Seth in the McNeil. I think he’ll strip fitter into this, and I can’t get my head around how he went up at $5 on Wednesday.

The Lounge Trophy (1400m) - 8pm AEDT
No. 10 Morrissy

A pretty tough way to end the day from a betting perspective, but I’m hoping that Morrissy finally lives up to the hype and salutes for us.

The Team Corstens-trained four-year-old hasn’t been bad in three starts this time, but he also hasn’t won. I like that Willo is holding firm, the horse should be able to get some cover from barrier 7 and with appropriate luck in the big Flemington straight, he surely won’t be offered a better opportunity on a Saturday.