Stan Wawrinka
After another decent year on tour, Wawrinka appears to be saving his best for last. He has very comfortably made it through to the Quarters, dropping just 2 sets in the process. He dominated the last two sets against Novak last time out before his early retirement. He’s only faced Medvedev once in the past, a match he lost relatively comfortably.
Daniil Medvedev
An outstanding 48-16 season on tour has seen this Russian young gun claim the #5 seed. He was one of the pre-tournament favourites and has lived up to that billing so far. He has dropped just 3 sets during his 4 matches so far, admittedly against a relatively easy schedule. His record in lead-up tournaments was outstanding, reaching the final in Washington, Toronto, and Cincinnati.
Prediction: Over 40.5 Games
The odds suggest this will be a very close matchup and I’d be inclined to agree. Medvedev has been killing it on hard courts this year, while Wawrinka is playing his best tennis of the season. I can easily see a 4 or 5 set contest here without too many breaks of serve. 40.5 is probably on the low end of what these two are capable of and I think the value on the over is worth a play here.
Roger Federer
He might be 38 years of age but the Fed Express still looks like one of the best players on tour. His path to the Quarters has been incredibly comfortable, dropping just 2 sets so far. After initial scares against Nagal and Dzumhur, he has destroyed both Daniel Evans and David Goffin in straight sets. With a combined 16 breaks of serve in his last 6 sets, his return game is looking as lethal as his serve.
Grigor Dimitrov
‘Baby Fed’ appears to have found some form of late and will take on his idol again here. Those who watched his match against de Minaur saw him thoroughly outclass the Aussie in a comfortable 3-set win. He has dropped only 1 set in his matches so far, with his serve looking particularly impressive. These two have matched up 7 times before and Dimitrov has been on the losing end every single time.
Prediction: Over 33.5 Games
Despite his poor record against Fed, I think Dimitrov has looked really strong of late. His serve has been especially consistent and should really keep him in this one. Fed struggled early in his 2 initial prime time matches and I could see an early Dimitrov set win here. With an outright set win or 3 fairly competitive ones, this over occurs the majority of the time.