US Open – Day 1

Denis Kudla vs Janko Tipsarevic
Tipsarevic +3.5 Games

Denis Kudla

The veteran American has really slipped in the rankings this year, now at 111 in the world. He enters the US Open after a dreadful campaign that has seen him win just 9 of 30 ATP Singles matches. He has been especially poor on hard courts of late, failing to win a main draw match in any of his last 4 tournaments. His record at his home slam is also very poor, going just 2-5 since his debut in 2012.

Janko Tipsarevic

After recently turning 35, the Serbian vet has had a relatively quiet year on tour. He is just 5-8 in matches this year, falling to number 260 in the world. He hasn’t had the greatest warm up for this tournament, going 0-1 in hard court matches since Wimbledon. That said, he does have decent pedigree at Flushing Meadows, going 16-13 for his career.

Prediction: Tipsarevic +3.5 Games

This is more of a bet against Kudla than it is one on Tipsarevic. Both of these men have had relatively poor campaigns and Kudla tends to fade under the pressure at home. Tipsarevic has a ton of veteran savvy and experience and won’t beat himself in this one. This is ultimately a 50/50 clash, but with the +3.5 games I see good value on the Serbian veteran.

Adrian Mannarino vs Daniel Evans
Over 39.5 Games

Adrian Mannarino

A relatively average 2019 sees the 31-year-old Frenchman ranked at #57 in the world. He has gone just 17-19 so far, a far cry from the strong 2018 that took him to #22. 4 combined wins in the Rogers Cup and Cincinnati Masters are definite positives that should have him confident entering this tournament. He has an average U.S Open record to date, going 8-8 for his career.

Daniel Evans

These two players find themselves very similarly ranked, with Evans just 1 spot below his opponent at #58. He has had an average at best 2019, going 13-13 and earning just over $500,000 so far. He has gone 3-4 in hard court tournaments since Wimbledon, far from an ideal preparation. The US Open is technically his best grand slam, compiling a 4-2 record for his career.

Prediction: Over 39.5 Games

This looks like a very evenly matched affair that is very tough to call. Both of these men are better servers than they are returners, which should lend itself to relatively long sets. Neither is the most consistent player either and I’d be very surprised in a straight sets result. Assuming we get 4 sets here and at least 1 tie-break, I very much like this over at even money.

Multi: Berdych/Lajovic/De Minaur
Combined Odds of $1.94

The good thing about the start of a Men’s Grand Slam is the plethora of multi opportunities on offer. I like Berdych at $1.25 odds against young American Jenson Brooksby and I think the 27 seed Lajovic should have too much for clay courter Steve Darcis. Despite not being among the seeds, Aussie Alex de Minaur also has a clear matchup edge over Pierre Hughes-Herbert. At combined odds of $1.94, this is just the type of play I look for on Day 1.