Wimbledon – Women’s Semi Finals

Serena Williams vs Barbora Strycova
Williams -4.5 Games

Serena Williams

Even at 37 years of age, Serena Williams still appears to be the best player on the WTA tour. She hasn’t played as many matches in 2019, but was 9-3 prior to her very solid run here. Things were tougher than expected against Alison Riske, however she did manage an impressive 3rd set performance. She boasts an epic record of 97-11 in Wimbledon singles matches, indicative of just how much the court suits her game.

Barbora Strycova

The veteran Czech pulled off a very surprising win last night, knocking out local hope Jo Konta. This was her 4th seeded scalp of the tournament, beating Tsurenko, Kiki Bertens, and Elise Mertens beforehand. Her serve was particularly strong, winning 67% of points on first serve and 88% on her second. She doesn’t have anywhere near the same success as Serena on Wimbledon, entering this tournament with a 16-15 record.

Prediction: Williams -4.5 Games

This is a very accurate line that creates little margin for error on both sides. While I think Serena wins this in straights, she can very easily drop sets if things aren’t going her way. That said, she is also very capable of pulling off a 6-0 or 6-1 as she simply overpowers every opponent. Ultimately, I think something like a 6-4 6-1 is very achievable and gives us good value at this number.

Elina Svitolina vs Simona Halep
Halep -3 Games

Elina Svitolina

The #8 seeded Ukrainian had another solid victory last night, claiming both the win and the cover. This was despite a relatively lacklustre performance where she won just 59% of points on first serve and 48% on second. Her return game was very much on point though, getting 6 service breaks in 11 opportunities. She is not necessarily suited to the grass court, boasting just a 5-6 Wimbledon record before this tournament.

Simona Halep

The former prodigy of Aussie coach Darren Cahill, Halep enters this tournament as the #7 seed. Her 2019 has been very solid to date, going 34-10 in singles matches and earning around $3 million in prize money. She is in excellent form at Wimbledon so far, dropping just 1 set en route to the Semi-Finals. Her first serve has been especially good, winning 72% of points last time out.

Prediction: Halep -3 Games

At first glance, I thought Svitolina looked like very solid value at this number. However, her game just isn’t suited at all to these conditions. Even by WTA standards, she is a very poor server and will get no benefit from the fast grass courts. This is very dangerous against a clinical returner like Halep, who I expect to get a lot of break opportunities here. Assuming she takes advantage of enough of them, I think her serve is solid enough for a win and cover here.